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Superligaen
Referee: Jorgen Daugbjerg Burchardt
Horsens
T T T T U
0–4
Full-time
Aalborg
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Horsens Aalborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,2
1,3
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
3,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,3
This season — Superligaen · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 21%
27%
14%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
45%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
55%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

39% Possession 61%
9 Shots 19
1 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 16
6 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Horsens 10. · Aalborg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 22 12 7 3 +18 43
2 FC Copenhagen 22 13 3 6 +23 42
3 Viborg 22 10 7 5 +7 37
4 Aarhus 22 10 5 7 +6 35
5 Randers FC 22 8 8 6 -2 32
6 Midtjylland 23 7 10 6 +5 31
7 Brondby 22 8 6 8 -2 30
8 Silkeborg 22 8 5 9 -1 29
9 Odense 23 7 7 9 -13 28
10 Horsens 22 6 5 11 -11 23
11 Lyngby 22 3 7 12 -15 16
12 Aalborg 22 3 6 13 -15 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Horsens Aalborg
5′
N. Helenius 0–1
L. Kramer
Matej Delač 🟨
7′
11′
🔁 M. Ramkilde
↦ N. Helenius
Malte Kiilerich 🟨
32′
40′
I. Fossum 0–2
Y. Bakiz
David Kruse 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–2
E. Just 🔁
↦ J. Gomez
46′
Malte Kiilerich 🟨
48′
Malte Kiilerich 🟥
48′
49′
🟨 Rasmus Thelander
62′
🔁 L. Andersen
↦ Y. Bakiz
62′
🔁 D. Granli
↦ J. Ahlmann
S. Iyede 🔁
↦ A. Sigurðarson
64′
J. Gemmer 🔁
↦ D. Kruse
65′
Jonas Gemmer 🟨
70′
75′
Allan Sousa 0–3
L. Prip
80′
🔁 O. Ross
↦ L. Kramer
80′
🔁 S. Otoa
↦ L. Prip
M. Hannesbo 🔁
↦ J. Drachmann
81′
S. Makienok 🔁
↦ M. Lassen
81′
85′
L. Andersen 0–4
O. Ross
Marcus Hannesbo 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Horsens

3-4-1-2
1 M. Delač G
21 J. Gomez D
4 M. Kiilerich D
33 A. Ludwig D
15 J. Buus M
8 J. Drachmann M
23 D. Kruse M
17 M. Lassen M
6 M. Opondo F
3 M. Jensen F
11 A. Sigurðarson F
Bench (9)
27 E. Just
26 S. Iyede
14 J. Gemmer
19 M. Hannesbo
13 S. Makienok
29 J. Beluli
9 A. Jacobsen
25 L. Wagner
16 S. Brolin

Coach: J. Askou

Aalborg

4-2-3-1
22 T. Sander G
2 K. Pallesen D
4 L. Kramer D
26 R. Thelander D
3 J. Ahlmann D
8 I. Fossum M
14 M. Højholt M
18 L. Prip M
23 Y. Bakiz M
7 Allan Sousa M
17 N. Helenius F
Bench (9)
29 M. Ramkilde
10 L. Andersen
5 D. Granli
38 O. Ross
34 S. Otoa
6 Pedro Ferreira
19 A. Ementa
40 N. Mantl
24 J. Skulstad

Coach: O. Hiljemark

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jorgen Daugbjerg Burchardt · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.