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DBU Pokalen
Referee: Jens Grabski Maae
Horsens
U T S T S
0–1
Full-time
Viborg
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Horsens Viborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aarhus Fremad 3 3 0 0 +13 9
2 VSK Århus 2 2 0 0 +10 6
3 Holbæk B&I 2 2 0 0 +8 6
4 Oksbøl 2 2 0 0 +7 6
5 Roskilde 2 2 0 0 +7 6
6 Sundby 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 Aalborg 2 2 0 0 +6 6
8 Hillerød 2 2 0 0 +6 6
9 HIK 2 2 0 0 +6 6
10 Kolding IF 2 2 0 0 +6 6
11 Thisted FC 2 2 0 0 +6 6
12 Hobro 2 2 0 0 +5 6
13 Kolding B 2 2 0 0 +4 6
14 Ringsted 2 2 0 0 +3 6
15 Hvidovre IF 2 2 0 0 +2 6
16 Brønshøj 2 1 1 0 +2 4
17 Odder 2 1 1 0 +2 4
18 GVI 2 1 1 0 +2 4
19 Lyseng 2 1 1 0 +1 4
20 Lyngby 2 1 1 0 +1 4
21 Odense 1 1 0 0 +11 3
22 B 93 1 1 0 0 +10 3
23 Sonderjyske 1 1 0 0 +10 3
24 Vejle 1 1 0 0 +6 3
25 Vejgaard B 1 1 0 0 +6 3
26 Skjold Sæby 2 1 0 1 +5 3
27 Vanløse 2 1 0 1 +4 3
28 FC Nakskov 2 1 0 1 +2 3
29 Fredericia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 AB Copenhagen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Skive 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Horsens 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Silkeborg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Esbjerg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 FC Horsens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Farsø/Ullits 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Middelfart 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 BSI 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 FA 2000 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Tune 2 1 0 1 -1 3
41 Skanderborg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
42 Ishøj 2 1 0 1 -2 3
43 B 1909 2 1 0 1 -2 3
44 Bramming 2 1 0 1 -3 3
45 Mejrup 2 1 0 1 -3 3
46 Marstal / Rise 2 1 0 1 -4 3
47 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 -4 3
48 Silkeborg KFUM 3 1 0 2 -7 3
49 Raklev 2 1 0 1 -8 3
50 FC Kalundborg 2 1 0 1 -10 3
51 LSF 2 0 2 0 +0 2
52 Frem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Nykobing FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 HB Koge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 OKS 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Tved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Næsby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Marienlyst 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Naestved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 TRIF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Nerashté Ballerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 FC Helsingor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Sønderborg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Stenløse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Skovsgård 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Rudersdal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Fredensborg BI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Skødstrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Avarta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Billund 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 BK Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 Grenaa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 Skibsby-Hojene 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -4 0
88 BiH Odense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
89 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -5 0
90 Norager 1 0 0 1 -5 0
91 Husum 1 0 0 1 -5 0
92 Viktoria 1 0 0 1 -5 0
93 Øresund OKF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Snejbjerg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
96 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
97 Ålholm 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Horsens Viborg
45′
🟨 C. Nouck
Half-time 0–0
Y. Ouorou 🟨
53′
57′
T. Freriks 0–1
63′
🔁 J. Gronning
↦ J. Vester
63′
🔁 B. Brahimi
↦ C. Nouck
F. Sene 🔁
↦ K. Kirkegaard
67′
F. Brandhof 🔁
↦ A. Moro
67′
P. Olsen 🔁
↦ S. Pingel
67′
68′
🟨 T. Freriks
A. Herdonsson 🔁
↦ K. Lusavec
70′
75′
🟨 J. Mbom
76′
🔁 M. Londal
↦ A. Beck
C. Tape 🟨
84′
87′
🔁 L. Kirkegaard
↦ M. Hoedemakers
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Horsens

1 M. Delac
4 S. Hausner
10 K. Kirkegaard
11 S. Pingel
12 C. Tape
14 J. Madsen
16 A. Moro
20 K. Lusavec
24 O. Kolskogen
27 Y. Ouorou
30 S. Doua
Bench (9)
7 I. Milicevic
17 A. Herdonsson
22 J. Batigi
23 D. Smarsch
25 F. Sene
29 F. Brandhof
32 P. Olsen
35 M. Kupijbida
36 O. Ogunniyi

Coach: David Nielsen

Viborg

1 L. Lund
4 M. Hoedemakers
6 M. Sondergaard
8 A. Beck
9 T. Freriks
11 C. Nouck
18 J. Mbom
24 D. Anyembe
26 H. Bidstrup
37 J. Vester
55 S. Radic
Bench (9)
13 J. Gronning
21 B. Brahimi
31 M. Londal
32 L. Kirkegaard
34 P. Keller
36 A. Kleis-Kristoffersen
38 N. Pedersen
39 M. Nielsen
16 F. Djukic

Coach: Nickolai Lund

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.