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DBU Pokalen
Referee: A Uslu
Horsens
T T T T U
1–2
Full-time
Sonderjyske
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Horsens Sonderjyske
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
0,7
2,5
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kolding IF 1 1 0 0 +18 3
2 B 93 1 1 0 0 +16 3
3 Hillerød 1 1 0 0 +7 3
4 FA 2000 1 1 0 0 +7 3
5 Middelfart 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 VRI 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 FC Helsingor 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Kolding B 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Skjold Sæby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Viby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Brønshøj 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Ringsted 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Lyseng 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Dalum 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Bagsværd 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 HB Koge 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Vanløse 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Gørslev 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Thisted FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Taastrup 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Skjold Birkerød 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 HIK 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Nykobing FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Skive 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Ringkøbing 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 B 1908 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 B 1909 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Fjordager 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Glostrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Amager FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Greve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Odder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
38 OKS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
39 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
40 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
41 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
42 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -2 0
43 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -3 0
44 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
45 Bispebjerg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
46 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -4 0
47 Varde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
48 Frederiksholm Sydhavnen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
49 Højslev IF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
50 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
51 BSF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
52 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -7 0
53 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -16 0
54 Avrasya 1 0 0 1 -18 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Horsens Sonderjyske
1–0 M. Larsen
9′
25′
J. Gallegos 1–1
Half-time 1–1
A. Ejupi 🔁
↦ F. Heiselberg
59′
A. Sigurðarson 🔁
↦ F. Kristensen
59′
J. Buus 🔁
↦ M. Lassen
59′
S. Reese 🔁
↦ A. Ludwig
59′
61′
🔁 C. Remmer
↦ S. Wæver
61′
🔁 S. Emini
↦ A. Oggesen
61′
🔁 K. Ingason
↦ P. Christiansen
61′
🔁 R. Vinderslev
↦ M. Hansen
M. Opondo 🔁
↦ M. Larsen
72′
78′
🔁 M. Ladefoged
↦ J. Gallegos
82′
M. Ladefoged 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Horsens

30 M. Bobjerg
33 A. Ludwig
4 M. Kiilerich
17 M. Lassen
25 L. Wagner
27 E. Just
16 Edmílson dos Santos
18 F. Kristensen
10 F. Heiselberg
22 A. Nehme
19 M. Larsen
Bench (9)
8 A. Ejupi
11 A. Sigurðarson
15 J. Buus
20 S. Reese
6 M. Opondo
1 M. Delač
28 A. Saine
29 J. Beluli
32 H. Toftegaard

Coach: J. Persson

Sonderjyske

1 N. Flø
4 D. Grétarsson
12 M. Soulas
21 A. Barkarson
18 I. Nikolov
3 S. Wæver
22 A. Oggesen
17 J. Gallegos
23 M. Hansen
14 S. Andreasen
20 P. Christiansen
Bench (9)
2 C. Remmer
7 S. Emini
10 K. Ingason
24 R. Vinderslev
19 M. Ladefoged
5 M. Dal Hende
29 K. Jørgensen
35 B. Rasmussen
32 S. Maass

Coach: T. Nørgaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Uslu · 52 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.