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DBU Pokalen

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hillerød 1 1 0 0 +12 3
2 Thisted FC 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Kolding IF 1 1 0 0 +8 3
4 Espergærde 1 1 0 0 +6 3
5 Fredericia 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 Skjold Sæby 1 1 0 0 +6 3
7 KRFK 1 1 0 0 +6 3
8 Esbjerg 1 1 0 0 +6 3
9 VSK Århus 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 Marienlyst 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 Roskilde 1 1 0 0 +5 3
12 HIK 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Vendsyssel FF 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Sundby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Aarhus Fremad 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Vatanspor 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 NB Bornholm 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 FC Helsingor 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Vanløse 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Vejle 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Næsby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Brabrand 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Allerød 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Aalborg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Sydkysten 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Frederikssund 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Nykobing FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 SGI 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Middelfart 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Avarta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Skive 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Lyseng 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Munkebo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 OKS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 AB Copenhagen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Brønderslev 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Frem 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Naestved 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 FA 2000 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Brønshøj 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Skovshoved 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Viby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 ASA Aarhus 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Odder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Vejgaard B 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Morud 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Varde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Holbæk B&I 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Hvidovre IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 HB Koge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Vigerslev 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Skjold Birkerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Ishøj 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Boldklubben FIX 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 B 93 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Aabenraa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Bredballe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 GVI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 Køge Nord 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Kolding B 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 Aarhus Black Vipers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Rudersdal 1 0 0 1 -4 0
71 Hobro 1 0 0 1 -4 0
72 Slagelse B&I 1 0 0 1 -4 0
73 Ringkøbing 1 0 0 1 -4 0
74 tst Fodbold 1 0 0 1 -5 0
75 Hedensted 1 0 0 1 -5 0
76 Handelsstandens 1 0 0 1 -5 0
77 BSI 1 0 0 1 -6 0
78 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -6 0
79 Maribo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
80 Skanderborg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
81 Bogense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
82 Aabybro 1 0 0 1 -8 0
83 Glamsbjerg 1 0 0 1 -8 0
84 Vaeggerlose 1 0 0 1 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalborg KFUM Fuglebakken KFUM
28′
H. Haraldsson 0–1
Half-time 0–2
60′
M. Jensen 0–2
1–2 C. Kalstrup
74′
90′
V. Moller 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.