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Europa League
Referee: Damian Sylwestrzak
Salzburg
T U T T S
1–0
Full-time
Pafos
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Pafos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
3 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 0
13 Corners 0
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Salzburg Pafos
36′
🟨 David Luiz
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 K. Sema
↦ D. Quina
46′
🟨 Ken Sema
B. Mazurek 🔁
↦ S. Diabate
58′
S. Kitano 🔁
↦ D. Redzic
64′
K. Konate 🔁
↦ Y. Vertessen
65′
H. Tabakovic 🔁
↦ E. Baidoo
70′
E. Aguilar 🔁
↦ G. Diakite
70′
Abubakr Barry 🟨
75′
80′
🔁 M. Mammadov
↦ A. Brito
82′
🟨 Ivan Šunjić
88′
🔁 Pepe
↦ V. Dragomir
1–0 H. Tabakovic ⚽
88′
93′
🟨 Ken Sema
93′
🟥 Ken Sema
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-2-3-1
52 C. Zawieschitzky G
18 N. Veratschnig D
44 K. Boma D
47 V. Zabransky D
31 D. Schmid D
5 S. Diabate M
32 A. Barry M
20 E. Baidoo F
30 G. Diakite F
23 D. Redzic M
11 Y. Vertessen F
Bench (12)
41 N. Sarcevic
14 M. Kjaergaard
21 T. Drexler
39 L. Morgalla
9 H. Tabakovic
19 K. Konate
13 F. Kratzig
8 S. Kitano
43 E. Aguilar
4 J. Mellberg
33 A. Camara
15 B. Mazurek

Coach: Danny Rohl

Pafos

3-5-2
99 R. Majecki G
5 D. Goldar D
4 David Luiz D
14 N. Ioannou D
8 D. Quina M
50 A. Brito M
26 I. Sunjic M
6 Guga M
20 Biel F
18 Lele F
30 V. Dragomir M
Bench (11)
71 M. Papastylianou
82 P. Petrou
88 Pepe
13 N. Moumi Ngamaleu
7 Bruno
47 M. Mammadov
60 C. Efzona
12 K. Sema
42 G. Michael
72 K. Ioannou
61 M. Kais

Coach: Albert Celades

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Damian Sylwestrzak · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.