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Svenska Cupen
Referee: F Oppong
Skövde AIK
T T S S T
1–2
Full-time
Malmo FF
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Skövde AIK Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
3,2
5,0
Scored
1,8
2,8
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
5,0
6,0
Scored
2,5
5,0
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Skövde AIK 33. · Malmo FF 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mjallby 3 3 0 0 +13 9
2 Elfsborg 3 3 0 0 +8 9
3 GAIS 3 3 0 0 +7 9
4 Hacken 3 3 0 0 +7 9
5 Goteborg 3 3 0 0 +7 9
6 Norrkoping 3 3 0 0 +5 9
7 Stockholm Internazionale 4 3 0 1 +4 9
8 Hammarby 3 2 1 0 +8 7
9 Brommapojkarna 3 2 1 0 +8 7
10 Djurgarden 3 2 1 0 +7 7
11 Degerfors 3 2 1 0 +4 7
12 Trelleborg 3 2 1 0 +3 7
13 Malmo FF 2 2 0 0 +8 6
14 Vasteras SK 2 2 0 0 +7 6
15 Halmstad 2 2 0 0 +6 6
16 Kalmar 3 2 0 1 +4 6
17 Oster 3 2 0 1 +2 6
18 Sirius 3 2 0 1 +0 6
19 AIK 3 1 2 0 +6 5
20 Varberg 3 1 1 1 +0 4
21 Oddevold 3 1 1 1 +0 4
22 IK brage 3 1 1 1 +0 4
23 Karlberg 4 1 1 2 -2 4
24 FBK Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +4 3
25 Trollhättan 2 1 0 1 +3 3
26 Berga 2 1 0 1 +3 3
27 Smedby 2 1 0 1 +3 3
28 Sollentuna 2 1 0 1 +2 3
29 Jonkopings Sodra 2 1 0 1 +2 3
30 Falkenbergs FF 2 1 0 1 +2 3
31 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Ariana 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 Skövde AIK 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +0 3
35 Huddinge 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Tord 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Täby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Enskede 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Varnamo 3 1 0 2 -1 3
40 Nyköping 2 1 0 1 -1 3
41 Götaholm 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 Gute 2 1 0 1 -1 3
43 Simrishamn 2 1 0 1 -1 3
44 Piteå 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 Herrestads 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Helsingborg 3 1 0 2 -2 3
47 Torslanda 2 1 0 1 -2 3
48 IFK Hässleholm 2 1 0 1 -2 3
49 Landskrona 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 Angelholms FF 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 Orebro SK 3 1 0 2 -3 3
52 Eskilsminne 2 1 0 1 -3 3
53 Sandviken 3 1 0 2 -4 3
54 Orgryte 3 1 0 2 -4 3
55 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 -4 3
56 Utsikten 2 1 0 1 -4 3
57 Järfälla 2 1 0 1 -4 3
58 Årsunda 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 IFK Östersund 2 1 0 1 -4 3
60 Kubikenborg 2 1 0 1 -5 3
61 Gefle IF 3 1 0 2 -8 3
62 Borens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Viggbyholms IK 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Haga 2 0 1 1 -2 1
65 Nacka Iliria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Gottne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Gauthiod 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Onsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Ostersunds FK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Skellefteå 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Balkan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 IFK Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Sundsvall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Hudiksvall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Arlanda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Vänersborgs IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Sunnersta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Brålanda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Stegeborgs 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Kristianopels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Torns 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Franke 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Åstorp 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Tidaholms GoIF 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Zenith 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Lödde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Dalkurd FF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Timmernabbens 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Haninge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Jönköpings BK 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Landvetter IS 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 Styrsö 1 0 0 1 -5 0
96 Forward 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Skövde AIK Malmo FF
7′
Gabriel Busanello 0–1
H. Forsgard 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–1
62′
🔁 E. Botheim
↦ E. Ekong
63′
🔁 S. Jørgensen
↦ Z. Loukili
E. Nordström 🔁
↦ V. Linnarsson
66′
68′
O. Rosengren 0–2
1–2 E. Skillermo
74′
78′
🔁 K. Busuladžić
↦ I. Kiese Thelin
L. Samuelsson 🔁
↦ E. Skillermo
82′
M. Agerborn 🔁
↦ E. Kwakwa
82′
S. Johnson 🔁
↦ A. Suljev
91′
E. Yonan 🔁
↦ S. Abraham
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Skövde AIK

F. Järlesand
A. Suljev
A. Basic
H. Forsgård
E. Kwakwa
Elmar Abraham
O. Lennerskog
V. Nylén
V. Linnarsson
S. Abraham
E. Skillermo
Bench (8)
E. Nordström
L. Samuelsson
M. Agerborn
S. Johnson
E. Yonan
E. Ström
G. Torstensson
W. Ansgariusson

Coach: C. Abraham

Malmo FF

33 M. Ellborg
19 C. Rösler
25 Gabriel Busanello
2 J. Karlsson
35 N. Zätterström
23 L. Berg Johnsen
11 E. Ekong
7 O. Rosengren
38 H. Bolin
34 Z. Loukili
9 I. Kiese Thelin
Bench (8)
20 E. Botheim
14 S. Jørgensen
40 K. Busuladžić
37 A. Skogmar
32 D. Guðjohnsen
13 M. Olsson
1 Ricardo Friedrich
42 V. Jeppsson

Coach: H. Rydström

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.