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Europa League
Referee: J Brooks
Malmo FF
U T S T S
2–2
Full-time
Galatasaray
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
4,2
3,7
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
0,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 80%
60%
100%
Average goals
2,8
4,4
Scored
0,8
2,6
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,45 xG 0,81
49% Possession 51%
21 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Malmo FF Galatasaray
1–0 E. Botheim ⚽
J. Stryger Larsen
24′
Hugo Bolin 🟨
32′
32′
🔁 K. Demirbay
↦ D. Sánchez
Søren Rieks 🟨
39′
43′
⚽ E. Jelert 1–1
K. Demirbay
Half-time 1–1
52′
🟨 Lucas Torreira
56′
⚽ Y. Akgün 1–2
D. Mertens
T. Ali 🔁
↦ H. Bolin
65′
73′
🔁 V. Nelsson
↦ D. Mertens
I. Kiese Thelin 🔁
↦ A. Christiansen
74′
S. Peña 🔁
↦ O. Rosengren
74′
O. Berg 🔁
↦ S. Rieks
82′
87′
🔁 E. Akman
↦ Gabriel Sara
87′
🔁 H. Ziyech
↦ E. Jelert
2–2 S. Peña ⚽
Gabriel Busanello
92′
94′
🟨 Metehan Baltacı
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-4-2
30 J. Persson G
17 J. Stryger Larsen D
19 C. Rösler D
35 N. Zätterström D
25 Gabriel Busanello D
5 S. Rieks M
7 O. Rosengren M
23 L. Berg Johnsen M
38 H. Bolin M
10 A. Christiansen F
20 E. Botheim F
Bench (12)
22 T. Ali
9 I. Kiese Thelin
8 S. Peña
16 O. Berg
41 W. Åkesson
39 W. Nieroth Lundgren
6 O. Lewicki
37 A. Skogmar
34 Z. Loukili
13 M. Olsson
14 S. Jørgensen
33 E. Makolli

Coach: H. Rydström

Galatasaray

3-4-2-1
1 F. Muslera G
90 M. Baltacı D
6 D. Sánchez D
42 A. Bardakcı D
24 E. Jelert M
34 L. Torreira M
20 Gabriel Sara M
18 B. Kutlu M
10 D. Mertens F
11 Y. Akgün F
44 M. Batshuayi F
Bench (9)
8 K. Demirbay
25 V. Nelsson
83 E. Akman
22 H. Ziyech
67 B. Luş
19 G. Güvenç
68 R. Dilek
12 B. Şen
58 A. Yeşilyurt

Coach: O. Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Brooks · 175 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.