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Svenska Cupen
Referee: R Sundell
Degerfors
U T S U S
0–1
Full-time
Trelleborg
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Degerfors Trelleborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,3
Scored
2,7
2,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Degerfors 14. · Trelleborg 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mjallby 3 3 0 0 +13 9
2 Malmo FF 3 3 0 0 +9 9
3 Vasteras SK 3 3 0 0 +8 9
4 Elfsborg 3 3 0 0 +8 9
5 Halmstad 3 3 0 0 +8 9
6 GAIS 3 3 0 0 +7 9
7 Hacken 3 3 0 0 +7 9
8 Goteborg 3 3 0 0 +7 9
9 Norrkoping 3 3 0 0 +5 9
10 Stockholm Internazionale 4 3 0 1 +4 9
11 Hammarby 3 2 1 0 +8 7
12 Brommapojkarna 3 2 1 0 +8 7
13 Djurgarden 3 2 1 0 +7 7
14 Degerfors 3 2 1 0 +4 7
15 Trelleborg 3 2 1 0 +3 7
16 Kalmar 3 2 0 1 +4 6
17 Oster 3 2 0 1 +2 6
18 Sirius 3 2 0 1 +0 6
19 AIK 3 1 2 0 +6 5
20 Varberg 3 1 1 1 +0 4
21 Oddevold 3 1 1 1 +0 4
22 IK brage 3 1 1 1 +0 4
23 Karlberg 4 1 1 2 -2 4
24 FBK Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +4 3
25 Trollhättan 2 1 0 1 +3 3
26 Berga 2 1 0 1 +3 3
27 Smedby 2 1 0 1 +3 3
28 Sollentuna 2 1 0 1 +2 3
29 Jonkopings Sodra 2 1 0 1 +2 3
30 Falkenbergs FF 2 1 0 1 +2 3
31 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Ariana 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 Huddinge 2 1 0 1 +0 3
35 Tord 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Täby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Enskede 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Varnamo 3 1 0 2 -1 3
39 Skövde AIK 3 1 0 2 -1 3
40 Nyköping 2 1 0 1 -1 3
41 Götaholm 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 Gute 2 1 0 1 -1 3
43 Simrishamn 2 1 0 1 -1 3
44 Piteå 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 Herrestads 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Helsingborg 3 1 0 2 -2 3
47 Torslanda 2 1 0 1 -2 3
48 IFK Hässleholm 2 1 0 1 -2 3
49 Angelholms FF 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 Orebro SK 3 1 0 2 -3 3
51 Eskilsminne 2 1 0 1 -3 3
52 Sandviken 3 1 0 2 -4 3
53 Orgryte 3 1 0 2 -4 3
54 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 -4 3
55 Landskrona 3 1 0 2 -4 3
56 Järfälla 2 1 0 1 -4 3
57 Årsunda 2 1 0 1 -4 3
58 IFK Östersund 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Kubikenborg 2 1 0 1 -5 3
60 Utsikten 3 1 0 2 -5 3
61 Gefle IF 3 1 0 2 -8 3
62 Borens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Viggbyholms IK 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Haga 2 0 1 1 -2 1
65 Nacka Iliria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Gottne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Gauthiod 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Onsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Ostersunds FK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Skellefteå 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Balkan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 IFK Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Sundsvall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Hudiksvall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Arlanda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Vänersborgs IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Sunnersta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Brålanda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Stegeborgs 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Kristianopels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Torns 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Franke 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Åstorp 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Tidaholms GoIF 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Zenith 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Lödde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Dalkurd FF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Timmernabbens 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Haninge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Jönköpings BK 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Landvetter IS 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 Styrsö 1 0 0 1 -5 0
96 Forward 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Degerfors Trelleborg
14′
A. Vidjeskog 0–1
Half-time 0–1
M. Diaby 🟨
46′
A. Hedén Lindskog 🔁
↦ M. Diaby
46′
55′
🟨 E. Godwin
E. Pihlstrom 🟨
58′
60′
🔁 A. Asani
↦ V. Christiansson
61′
🔁 J. Andersson
↦ A. Hellemaa
M. Lundgren 🔁
↦ E. Pihlström
63′
L. Hien 🟨
66′
66′
🟨 J. Kack
72′
🔁 F. Hörberg
↦ E. Godwin
73′
🔁 T. Karlsson
↦ J. Käck
N. Moro 🔁
↦ L. Hien
85′
88′
🔁 O. Ruuska
↦ E. Alievski
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Degerfors

R. Forsell
M. Diaby
Bernardo Morgado
Sebastian Jonas Ohlsson
N. Girmai Netabay
C. Gravius
E. Lindell
E. Barsoum
E. Pihlström
O. Faraj
L. Hien
Bench (6)
A. Hedén Lindskog
M. Lundgren
N. Moro
D. Ilunga
T. Grönborg
W. Jakobsson

Coach: W. Lundin

Trelleborg

1 A. Larsen
3 C. Weberg
5 A. Ogwuche
21 E. Alievski
26 J. Käck
15 E. Godwin
28 A. Vidjeskog
24 V. Christiansson
6 A. Hellemaa
22 F. Martinsson
11 A. Culum
Bench (7)
16 A. Asani
7 J. Andersson
20 F. Hörberg
19 T. Karlsson
8 O. Ruuska
25 E. Löfberg
12 M. Nilsson

Coach: S. Jacobsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Sundell · 40 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.