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Pro League

Referee: N Laforge

Charleroi

T U U U T

1–1

Full-time

Genk

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 17/18 matches

Win Ø 57%

35%

78%

Points per game

1,4

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

29%

78%

Both score Ø 54%

41%

67%

Average goals

1,9

3,3

Scored

1,0

2,1

Conceded

0,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,15 xG 1,43

41% Possession 59%

11 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 10. · Genk 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	18	14	2	2	+17	+19.2	44
2	Club Brugge	18	11	5	2	+22	+19.6	38
3	Antwerp	17	10	6	1	+21	+2.8	36
4	Anderlecht	17	10	5	2	+22	+9.5	35
5	St. Gilloise	18	9	6	3	+12	+17.0	33
6	Gent	19	8	8	3	+15	+1.0	32
7	Dender	18	6	7	5	-1	-6.7	25
8	Standard	17	7	4	6	-7	-6.9	25
9	Cercle Brugge	21	6	7	8	-11	-3.7	25
10	Charleroi	17	6	5	6	+1	+2.6	23
11	Mechelen	19	5	5	9	-4	-3.7	20
12	St Truiden	23	4	7	12	-21	-10.9	19
13	Westerlo	18	4	4	10	-5	-1.6	16
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	18	2	9	7	-6	-3.1	15
15	Beerschot VA	22	1	8	13	-25	-19.1	11
16	Kortrijk	22	3	2	17	-30	-16.2	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	10	9	1	0	+15	+13.3	28
2	Club Brugge	9	6	2	1	+16	+14.3	20
3	Antwerp	9	6	2	1	+16	+5.3	20
4	Gent	9	6	2	1	+15	+4.0	20
5	Anderlecht	9	5	3	1	+11	+3.6	18
6	St. Gilloise	8	6	0	2	+7	+13.5	18
7	Standard	8	5	1	2	+3	-2.2	16
8	Cercle Brugge	10	4	4	2	-1	+2.7	16
9	St Truiden	12	3	6	3	-2	-1.0	15
10	Charleroi	9	4	2	3	+3	+3.3	14
11	Mechelen	10	3	4	3	+4	+1.1	13
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	2	6	1	+3	+3.1	12
13	Westerlo	9	3	2	4	+4	+9.2	11
14	Dender	9	2	4	3	+0	-2.9	10
15	Beerschot VA	10	1	6	3	-5	-6.7	9
16	Kortrijk	11	3	0	8	-9	-3.7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	9	5	3	1	+6	+5.3	18
2	Anderlecht	8	5	2	1	+11	+5.9	17
3	Antwerp	8	4	4	0	+5	-2.5	16
4	Genk	8	5	1	2	+2	+5.8	16
5	St. Gilloise	10	3	6	1	+5	+3.6	15
6	Dender	9	4	3	2	-1	-3.8	15
7	Gent	10	2	6	2	+0	-3.1	12
8	Charleroi	8	2	3	3	-2	-0.7	9
9	Cercle Brugge	11	2	3	6	-10	-6.4	9
10	Standard	9	2	3	4	-10	-4.7	9
11	Mechelen	9	2	1	6	-8	-4.7	7
12	Westerlo	9	1	2	6	-9	-10.9	5
13	St Truiden	11	1	1	9	-19	-9.8	4
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	0	3	6	-9	-6.2	3
15	Beerschot VA	12	0	2	10	-20	-12.4	2
16	Kortrijk	11	0	2	9	-21	-12.4	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.