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NM-cupen

Grorud

T T T T S

18:00 Wednesday 23. September

Moss

U T S T S

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The model's reading of the match in plain language: expected goals, favourite probability and what the form says.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grorud Moss

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,8

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — NM-cupen · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

6,0

3,0

Scored

5,0

3,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+4,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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🔒 Where the model differs from the market Pro

The markets where our estimate differs most from the odds — the core of Pro.

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The table now Grorud 35. · Moss 43. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	2	2	0	0	+16	6
2	Aalesund	2	2	0	0	+14	6
3	Kongsvinger	2	2	0	0	+13	6
4	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+12	6
5	Odd	2	2	0	0	+11	6
6	Tromsdalen Uil	2	2	0	0	+9	6
7	Stromsgodset	2	2	0	0	+9	6
8	Valerenga	2	2	0	0	+8	6
9	Ranheim	2	2	0	0	+8	6
10	Fredrikstad	2	2	0	0	+7	6
11	Raufoss	2	2	0	0	+7	6
12	Ham-Kam	2	2	0	0	+7	6
13	Kristiansund	2	2	0	0	+6	6
14	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+6	6
15	Bryne	2	2	0	0	+6	6
16	Lyn	2	2	0	0	+6	6
17	Haugesund	2	2	0	0	+5	6
18	Brann	2	2	0	0	+5	6
19	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+4	6
20	Pors Grenland	2	2	0	0	+4	6
21	hodd	2	2	0	0	+4	6
22	Rana	2	2	0	0	+2	6
23	Sandnes ULF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
24	Start	2	2	0	0	+2	6
25	Sogndal	2	1	1	0	+8	4
26	Sotra	2	1	1	0	+6	4
27	Sandviken	2	1	1	0	+1	4
28	Asane	2	1	1	0	+1	4
29	Sandefjord	1	1	0	0	+15	3
30	Levanger	2	1	0	1	+6	3
31	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+5	3
32	Eidsvold	2	1	0	1	+4	3
33	Asker	2	1	0	1	+4	3
34	Træff	2	1	0	1	+4	3
35	Grorud	1	1	0	0	+4	3
36	Bærum	1	1	0	0	+4	3
37	KFUM Oslo	1	1	0	0	+4	3
38	Brattvåg	2	1	0	1	+3	3
39	Gamle Oslo	2	1	0	1	+3	3
40	Arendal	2	1	0	1	+3	3
41	Notodden	2	1	0	1	+3	3
42	Hønefoss	1	1	0	0	+3	3
43	Moss	1	1	0	0	+3	3
44	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
45	Kjelsås	2	1	0	1	+2	3
46	Stjørdals-Blink	2	1	0	1	+2	3
47	Viking	1	1	0	0	+2	3
48	Flint	1	1	0	0	+2	3
49	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	0	+2	3
50	Førde	2	1	0	1	+1	3
51	Stabaek	2	1	0	1	+1	3
52	Os	2	1	0	1	+1	3
53	Madla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Follo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Skeid	2	1	0	1	+0	3
56	Vindbjart	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	Djerv	2	1	0	1	+0	3
58	Jerv	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	Alta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	Fløya	2	1	0	1	-1	3
61	Bjarg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
62	Elverum	2	1	0	1	-2	3
63	Trygg/Lade	2	1	0	1	-2	3
64	Strommen	2	1	0	1	-6	3
65	Ull/Kisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Vard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Varhaug	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Fram	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Flekkerøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Askøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Flekkefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Harstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Arna-Bjørnar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Stalkam	2	0	0	2	-2	0
79	Junkeren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Floro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Lillehammer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Fana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Lysekloster	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Ørn Horten	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Heming	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Sparta Sarpsborg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Våg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Eik-Tønsberg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Melhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Rosseland	1	0	0	1	-3	0
94	Urædd	1	0	0	1	-3	0
95	Tynset	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	Aurskog Finstadbru	1	0	0	1	-3	0
97	Volda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
98	Lokomotiv Oslo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
99	Froland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
100	Mjondalen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
101	Frigg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
102	Åssiden IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
103	Ridabu	1	0	0	1	-4	0
104	IF Ready	1	0	0	1	-4	0
105	SF Grei	1	0	0	1	-4	0
106	Nord	1	0	0	1	-4	0
107	Fyllingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
108	Gjøvik-Lyn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
109	Christiania BK	1	0	0	1	-5	0
110	Drøbak / Frogn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
111	Ulfstind	1	0	0	1	-5	0
112	Fauske Sprint	1	0	0	1	-5	0
113	Trønder-Lyn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
114	Trysil FK	1	0	0	1	-5	0
115	Eidsvold IF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
116	Frøya	1	0	0	1	-6	0
117	Steinkjer	1	0	0	1	-6	0
118	Modum FK	1	0	0	1	-6	0
119	Kvik Halden	1	0	0	1	-7	0
120	Rollon	1	0	0	1	-7	0
121	Fjøra	1	0	0	1	-8	0
122	Strindheim	1	0	0	1	-8	0
123	National Kameratene	1	0	0	1	-9	0
124	Teie	1	0	0	1	-10	0
125	Midsund	1	0	0	1	-11	0
126	Skreia	1	0	0	1	-12	0
127	Langevag	1	0	0	1	-13	0
128	Eidanger	1	0	0	1	-15	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tromsdalen Uil	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Asker	2	1	0	1	+4	3
3	Bærum	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Gamle Oslo	2	1	0	1	+3	3
5	Flint	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Os	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Madla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Pors Grenland	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Vindbjart	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Fløya	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Elverum	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Sandviken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sotra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Vard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Førde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Eidsvold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Varhaug	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Jerv	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Arendal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Brattvåg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Alta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Fram	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Askøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Flekkefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Stjørdals-Blink	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Harstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Arna-Bjørnar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Stalkam	2	0	0	2	-2	0
33	Floro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Lillehammer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Fana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Levanger	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Kjelsås	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Heming	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Sparta Sarpsborg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Våg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Skeid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Eik-Tønsberg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Bjarg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Træff	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Melhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Rosseland	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Urædd	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Tynset	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Aurskog Finstadbru	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Volda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Lokomotiv Oslo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Froland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Frigg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Åssiden IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	Djerv	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	Ridabu	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	IF Ready	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	SF Grei	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Nord	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Fyllingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Gjøvik-Lyn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
65	Christiania BK	1	0	0	1	-5	0
66	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-5	0
67	Ulfstind	1	0	0	1	-5	0
68	Fauske Sprint	1	0	0	1	-5	0
69	Trønder-Lyn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
70	Trysil FK	1	0	0	1	-5	0
71	Eidsvold IF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
72	Frøya	1	0	0	1	-6	0
73	Steinkjer	1	0	0	1	-6	0
74	Modum FK	1	0	0	1	-6	0
75	Rollon	1	0	0	1	-7	0
76	Fjøra	1	0	0	1	-8	0
77	Strindheim	1	0	0	1	-8	0
78	National Kameratene	1	0	0	1	-9	0
79	Teie	1	0	0	1	-10	0
80	Midsund	1	0	0	1	-11	0
81	Skreia	1	0	0	1	-12	0
82	Langevag	1	0	0	1	-13	0
83	Eidanger	1	0	0	1	-15	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	2	2	0	0	+16	6
2	Aalesund	2	2	0	0	+14	6
3	Kongsvinger	2	2	0	0	+13	6
4	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+12	6
5	Odd	2	2	0	0	+11	6
6	Stromsgodset	2	2	0	0	+9	6
7	Valerenga	2	2	0	0	+8	6
8	Ranheim	2	2	0	0	+8	6
9	Fredrikstad	2	2	0	0	+7	6
10	Raufoss	2	2	0	0	+7	6
11	Ham-Kam	2	2	0	0	+7	6
12	Kristiansund	2	2	0	0	+6	6
13	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+6	6
14	Bryne	2	2	0	0	+6	6
15	Lyn	2	2	0	0	+6	6
16	Haugesund	2	2	0	0	+5	6
17	Brann	2	2	0	0	+5	6
18	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+4	6
19	hodd	2	2	0	0	+4	6
20	Rana	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	Sandnes ULF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
22	Start	2	2	0	0	+2	6
23	Sogndal	2	1	1	0	+8	4
24	Asane	2	1	1	0	+1	4
25	Sandefjord	1	1	0	0	+15	3
26	Levanger	1	1	0	0	+8	3
27	Træff	1	1	0	0	+7	3
28	Sotra	1	1	0	0	+6	3
29	Eidsvold	1	1	0	0	+5	3
30	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+5	3
31	Brattvåg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
32	Grorud	1	1	0	0	+4	3
33	Arendal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
34	Kjelsås	1	1	0	0	+4	3
35	Notodden	1	1	0	0	+4	3
36	KFUM Oslo	1	1	0	0	+4	3
37	Djerv	1	1	0	0	+4	3
38	Skeid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
39	Hønefoss	1	1	0	0	+3	3
40	Moss	1	1	0	0	+3	3
41	Stjørdals-Blink	1	1	0	0	+3	3
42	Pors Grenland	1	1	0	0	+3	3
43	Trygg/Lade	1	1	0	0	+3	3
44	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
45	Førde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
46	Viking	1	1	0	0	+2	3
47	Bjarg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
48	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	0	+2	3
49	Stabaek	2	1	0	1	+1	3
50	Alta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Follo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Jerv	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Tromsdalen Uil	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Strommen	2	1	0	1	-6	3
56	Ull/Kisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Flekkerøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Junkeren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Lysekloster	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Ørn Horten	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Mjondalen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Drøbak / Frogn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
64	Kvik Halden	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Bookmaker odds fetched 55 minutes ago — the market may have moved since.

1X2

3,60

🔒

4,20

🔒

1,75

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

1,05

🔒

U1,5

9,00

🔒

O2,5

1,24

🔒

U2,5

3,80

🔒

O3,5

1,61

🔒

U3,5

2,09

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

1,27

🔒

BLS nei

3,50

🔒

Why do we recommend this?

Not both teams score (Value tips) — The model expects around 3,4 goals in the match (1,8 from Grorud, 1,6 from Moss). In Grorud's recent matches there have been an average of 3,4 goals, in Moss's 4,0. The market prices this at about 29 % — our model calculates 38 %, so the odds of 3,50 pay better than the risk suggests in our assessment.

Under 2.5 goals in the match (Value tips) — The model expects around 3,4 goals in the match (1,8 from Grorud, 1,6 from Moss). In Grorud's recent matches there have been an average of 3,4 goals, in Moss's 4,0. The market prices this at about 26 % — our model calculates 33 %, so the odds of 3,80 pay better than the risk suggests in our assessment.