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KNVB Beker
TOGB
T T T T S
3–5
LIVE 80′
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's reading of the match in plain language: expected goals, favourite probability and what the form says.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

TOGB ROHDA Raalte
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 35%
20%
50%
Points per game
0,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table now
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kloetinge 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 AFC Amsterdam 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 ACV 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Koninklijke HFC 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 EVV 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Eemdijk 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Vvsb 2 2 0 0 +3 6
8 SC Genemuiden 2 2 0 0 +2 6
9 Excelsior '31 2 2 0 0 +2 6
10 Noordwijk 2 2 0 0 +2 6
11 Excelsior Maassluis 2 1 1 0 +2 4
12 Zwaluwen 1 1 0 0 +7 3
13 UDI '19 1 1 0 0 +5 3
14 Rijnvogels 2 1 0 1 +4 3
15 GVVV Veenendaal 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Roosendaal 2 1 0 1 +3 3
17 Frisia 2 1 0 1 +3 3
18 AFC '34 2 1 0 1 +2 3
19 TEC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 JOS Watergraafsmeer 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Sparta Nijkerk 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Gemert 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Purmersteijn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 TOGB 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Barendrecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Dovo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
28 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
29 Groene Ster 2 1 0 1 -4 3
30 Achilles Veen 2 1 0 1 -6 3
31 UNA 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 RKAV Volendam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Spakenburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 SVZW 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Hollandia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Mierlo-Hout 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Groesbeek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 ADO '20 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Staphorst 2 0 1 1 -1 1
40 Hoogeveen 2 0 1 1 -1 1
41 Halsteren 2 0 1 1 -2 1
42 Zwaluw VFC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Katwijk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Heerjansdam 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 FC Lisse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 ATC 65 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Surhusterfean 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 HHC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 GOES 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Almkerk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Dongen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Poortugaal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 NSVV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Blauw Geel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Hercules 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Venray 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Ajax Amateurs 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 FC 's-Gravenzande 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Be Quick 1887 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 VV Scherpenzeel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
62 Elinkwijk 1 0 0 1 -3 0
63 HZVV 1 0 0 1 -4 0
64 LONGA '30 1 0 0 1 -4 0
65 GSV 28 1 0 0 1 -4 0
66 Westlandia 1 0 0 1 -5 0
67 Bennekom 1 0 0 1 -5 0
68 Rkvv Spartaan 1 0 0 1 -5 0
69 Lierop 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Events

TOGB ROHDA Raalte
1–0 F. Eijgenraam
3′
2–0 J. Weegman
30′
Half-time 2–0
46′
penalty missed
51′
W. Hansler 2–1
56′
D. Rickhoff 2–2
3–2 J. Haars
61′
70′
M. Bulut 3–3
76′
D. Rickhoff 3–4
78′
S. Brand 3–5

Odds comparison

Bookmaker odds fetched 2 hours ago — the market may have moved since.

1X2
H
3,70
U
4,85
B
1,59
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,04
U1,5
11,00
O2,5
1,19
U2,5
4,33
O3,5
1,53
U3,5
2,30
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,25
BLS nei
3,50

Referee

Not assigned yet — referee appointments are usually published in the last 24 hours before kick-off, and the referee stats will appear here then.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.