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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Huru
Moss
S U S T S
1–0
Full-time
Raufoss
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Raufoss
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
33%
22%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,4
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 7. · Raufoss 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sogndal 9 5 2 2 +2 17
2 Ranheim 9 5 2 2 +1 17
3 Fredrikstad 9 3 6 0 +3 15
4 Kongsvinger 9 5 0 4 +2 15
5 Start 9 3 5 1 +7 14
6 Kristiansund 8 4 2 2 +1 14
7 Moss 9 3 4 2 +0 13
8 hodd 9 2 5 2 +1 11
9 Mjondalen 9 3 2 4 +0 11
10 Sandnes ULF 9 2 4 3 +2 10
11 Bryne 8 2 4 2 -1 10
12 KFUM Oslo 9 2 4 3 -2 10
13 Raufoss 9 2 3 4 +0 9
14 Jerv 9 2 3 4 -2 9
15 Skeid 9 1 3 5 -10 6
16 Asane 9 0 5 4 -4 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moss Raufoss
25′
🟨 M. Fagernes
K. Strande 🟨
41′
43′
🔁 S. Hagbø
↦ S. Westerlund
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Cláudio Braga
47′
C. Braga 🟨
47′
A. Hussein 🔁
↦ I. Hoffmann
73′
78′
🔁 A. Østerud
↦ M. Fagernes
H. Gjesdal 🔁
↦ A. Håpnes
79′
S. Pedersen 🔁
↦ Cláudio Braga
79′
81′
🟨 S. Hagbo
S. Haugli 🔁
↦ H. Gjesdal
84′
89′
🔁 F. Brattbakk
↦ S. Hagbø
96′
🟨 N. Fremstad
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Moss

1 M. Ranmark
3 K. Strande
21 I. Hoffmann
5 I. Kukleci
2 M. Andresen
6 K. Makosso
20 A. Potur
15 A. Håpnes
16 A. Ali
23 N. Alexandersson
14 Cláudio Braga
Bench (9)
25 A. Hussein
4 H. Gjesdal
19 S. Pedersen
27 S. Haugli
7 A. Askar
10 L. Callaku
12 E. Myrhaug Bachke
22 S. Martinsen-Wold
26 O. Kjeilen Stavdal

Coach: T. Myhre

Raufoss

1 O. Lauvli
5 A. Guðjónsson
4 S. Westerlund
14 J. Haruna
10 L. Mettler
11 N. Fremstad
6 H. Hammer
20 G. Simenstad
25 E. Frøysa
9 A. Helmersen
21 M. Fagernes
Bench (8)
27 S. Hagbø
7 A. Østerud
26 F. Brattbakk
16 J. Ørsahl
18 K. Somesi
19 T. Løberg
22 A. Teigen
31 A. Fagereng

Coach: J. Wålemark

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.