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Super League
Referee: L Piccolo
Young Boys
S S U S T
2–1
Full-time
Winterthur
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Winterthur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
This season — Super League · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 40%
57%
23%
Points per game
2,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
60%
46%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
2,3
0,9
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

73% Possession 27%
25 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Young Boys 1. · Winterthur 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 35 20 11 4 +51 71
2 Servette 35 13 16 6 +6 55
3 Lugano 35 14 12 9 +11 54
4 Luzern 35 13 11 11 +3 50
5 Basel 35 10 14 11 -1 44
6 Grasshoppers 35 12 8 15 -6 44
7 Zurich 35 10 14 11 -13 44
8 St. Gallen 35 10 12 13 +10 42
9 Winterthur 35 8 8 19 -33 32
10 Sion 35 7 10 18 -28 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Mar -23 Winterthur – Young Boys 1–1 29. Jan -23 Young Boys – Winterthur 5–1 28. Aug -22 Winterthur – Young Boys 1–5

Match report

Young Boys Winterthur
Christian Fassnacht 🟨
12′
22′
🟨 Michael Gonçalves
29′
🟨 Samuel Ballet
1–0 J. Nsame ⚽
30′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Ltaief
↦ N. Burkart
48′
⚽ R. Buess 1–1
M. Di Giusto
Filip Ugrinic 🟨
59′
K. Imeri 🔁
↦ F. Rieder
64′
Joël Monteiro 🔁
↦ C. Fassnacht
64′
64′
🔁 N. Holenstein
↦ S. Ballet
68′
🟨 Noe Holenstein
77′
🔁 F. Rodríguez
↦ M. Di Giusto
L. Benito 🔁
↦ U. Garcia
79′
D. Rrudhani 🔁
↦ M. Elia
79′
Cedric Zesiger 🟨
80′
F. Lustenberger 🔁
↦ S. Lauper
86′
2–1 K. Imeri ⚽
F. Lustenberger
88′
90′
🔁 T. Schättin
↦ R. Buess
90′
🔁 L. Vogele
↦ H. Kryeziu
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-3-1-2
33 M. Keller G
27 L. Blum D
4 A. Amenda D
5 C. Zesiger D
21 U. Garcia D
32 F. Rieder M
30 S. Lauper M
16 C. Fassnacht M
7 F. Ugrinic M
18 J. Nsame F
15 M. Elia F
Bench (9)
29 K. Imeri
77 Joël Monteiro
23 L. Benito
22 D. Rrudhani
28 F. Lustenberger
24 Q. Maceiras
40 D. Marzino
13 M. Camara
20 C. Niasse

Coach: R. Wicky

Winterthur

4-2-3-1
30 M. Kuster G
15 M. Gonçalves D
25 Y. Schmid D
5 R. Gelmi D
18 S. Diaby D
40 H. Kryeziu M
8 S. Ramizi M
17 S. Ballet M
10 M. Di Giusto M
99 N. Burkart M
9 R. Buess F
Bench (8)
24 S. Ltaief
22 N. Holenstein
44 F. Rodríguez
3 T. Schättin
26 L. Vogele
1 T. Fayulu
14 T. Corbaz
7 N. Manzambi

Coach: B. Berner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Piccolo · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.