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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Støfringshaug
Raufoss
S T S U T
3–2
Full-time
Kristiansund
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Raufoss Kristiansund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 34%
21%
46%
Points per game
0,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
43%
62%
Both score Ø 49%
36%
62%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Raufoss 14. · Kristiansund 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kongsvinger 14 10 0 4 +9 30
2 Fredrikstad 14 7 7 0 +11 28
3 Sogndal 14 7 3 4 +3 24
4 KFUM Oslo 14 6 4 4 +6 22
5 Kristiansund 13 6 4 3 +6 22
6 Jerv 14 6 3 5 +1 21
7 Start 14 5 5 4 +5 20
8 Ranheim 14 6 2 6 -7 20
9 Moss 14 5 4 5 -3 19
10 Mjondalen 14 5 3 6 -1 18
11 Bryne 13 4 4 5 -1 16
12 Sandnes ULF 14 3 5 6 -1 14
13 hodd 14 3 5 6 -4 14
14 Raufoss 14 3 4 7 -4 13
15 Asane 14 1 7 6 -5 10
16 Skeid 14 2 4 8 -15 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Raufoss Kristiansund
1–0 J. Haruna
7′
19′
🟥 M. Konradsen Ceide
2–0 L. Mettler
21′
22′
🟨 C. Michelsen
28′
🟨 S. Kartum
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Hopmark
↦ A. Coly
46′
🔁 T. Gjertsen
↦ M. Rakneberg
2–1 T. Gjertsen
own goal
47′
S. Westerlund 🟨
53′
65′
🔁 J. Isaksen
↦ M. Williamsen
M. Fagernes 🔁
↦ A. Helmersen
67′
72′
🔁 L. Alvheim
↦ S. Kartum
72′
B. Willumsson 2–2
H. Hammer 🟨
78′
79′
🟨 J. Isaksen
K. Somesi 🔁
↦ A. Østerud
80′
83′
B. Stokke 2–3
A. Guðjónsson 🔁
↦ A. Teigen
87′
89′
🔁 M. Weidel
↦ D. Ulvestad
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Raufoss

1 O. Lauvli
16 J. Ørsahl
4 S. Westerlund
14 J. Haruna
10 L. Mettler
11 N. Fremstad
6 H. Hammer
22 A. Teigen
20 G. Simenstad
9 A. Helmersen
7 A. Østerud
Bench (7)
21 M. Fagernes
18 K. Somesi
5 A. Guðjónsson
3 T. Engebakken
15 A. Racaj
26 F. Brattbakk
31 A. Fagereng

Coach: J. Wålemark

Kristiansund

30 M. Mbaye
5 D. Ulvestad
19 A. Coly
2 S. Nilsen
26 M. Williamsen
16 M. Ceïde
8 S. Kartum
21 M. Broholm
9 B. Stokke
17 B. Willumsson
15 M. Rakneberg
Bench (9)
6 A. Hopmark
7 T. Gjertsen
14 J. Isaksen
31 L. Alvheim
29 M. Weidel
11 M. Mawa
13 M. Olsen
38 A. Alemseged
12 A. Sæther

Coach: C. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Støfringshaug · 64 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.