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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: J Tennøy
Sogndal
S U T T S
5–1
Full-time
Jerv
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
43%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
50%
71%
Both score Ø 72%
57%
86%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 3. · Jerv 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kongsvinger 14 10 0 4 +9 30
2 Fredrikstad 14 7 7 0 +11 28
3 Sogndal 14 7 3 4 +3 24
4 KFUM Oslo 14 6 4 4 +6 22
5 Kristiansund 13 6 4 3 +6 22
6 Jerv 14 6 3 5 +1 21
7 Start 14 5 5 4 +5 20
8 Ranheim 14 6 2 6 -7 20
9 Moss 14 5 4 5 -3 19
10 Mjondalen 14 5 3 6 -1 18
11 Bryne 13 4 4 5 -1 16
12 Sandnes ULF 14 3 5 6 -1 14
13 hodd 14 3 5 6 -4 14
14 Raufoss 14 3 4 7 -4 13
15 Asane 14 1 7 6 -5 10
16 Skeid 14 2 4 8 -15 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Jerv
1–0 K. Nessø
33′
40′
🟨 M. Ugland
2–0 K. Nessø
41′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Wichmann
↦ H. Bredeli
3–0 V. Ingimundarson
48′
I. Twum 🟨
53′
4–0 S. Ørjasæter
54′
P. Flo 🔁
↦ A. Hoven
68′
J. Berg Nundal 🔁
↦ J. Jónsson
68′
69′
E. Brenden 4–1
73′
🟨 M. Wichmann
5–1 K. Nessø
75′
M. Gueye 🔁
↦ D. Arrocha
82′
K. Steinset 🔁
↦ S. Ørjasæter
82′
82′
🔁 E. Duesund
↦ T. Wichne
A. Kalstad 🔁
↦ K. Nessø
86′
92′
🔁 H. Krogelien
↦ P. Syvertsen
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Sogndal

1 R. Fij
4 D. Arrocha
26 A. van der Spa
17 M. Sjølstad
10 K. Skaanes
15 K. Nessø
7 J. Jónsson
20 I. Twum
8 V. Ingimundarson
11 A. Hoven
27 S. Ørjasæter
Bench (9)
13 P. Flo
31 J. Berg Nundal
3 M. Gueye
29 K. Steinset
33 A. Kalstad
9 E. Kupen
32 M. Øren
35 D. Saetren
36 M. Årøy

Coach: T. Flo

Jerv

20 Ø. Øvretveit
22 H. Bredeli
2 T. Wichne
4 A. Mutsinzi
3 L. Larade
27 E. Philibert
15 E. Brenden
8 M. Ugland
21 S. Auklend
54 P. Syvertsen
30 J. Cijntje
Bench (6)
6 M. Wichmann
88 E. Duesund
16 H. Krogelien
11 Samuel Pedro
13 E. Windegaard
18 A. Richstad

Coach: A. Sandstø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Tennøy · 86 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.