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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: A Bodding
Asane
U T T S T
1–5
Full-time
Valerenga
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asane Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 26%
14%
38%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
57%
38%
Both score Ø 67%
71%
63%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Asane 13. · Valerenga 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sogndal 8 4 3 1 +8 15
2 Egersund 7 4 2 1 +5 14
3 Kongsvinger 7 4 2 1 +2 14
4 Moss 9 4 2 3 +0 14
5 Stabaek 7 3 4 0 +8 13
6 Bryne 8 4 0 4 +1 12
7 Valerenga 8 3 2 3 -2 11
8 Levanger 8 2 4 2 +3 10
9 Lyn 7 2 4 1 +2 10
10 Mjondalen 7 2 3 2 +0 9
11 Sandnes ULF 8 2 3 3 -4 9
12 Raufoss 8 2 2 4 -2 8
13 Asane 7 1 4 2 -1 7
14 Ranheim 8 1 4 3 -2 7
15 Start 9 1 3 5 -8 6
16 Aalesund 8 1 2 5 -10 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asane Valerenga
20′
H. Bjørdal 0–1
E. Iversen 🟨
24′
30′
M. Kreuzriegler 0–2
33′
M. Rijks 0–3
S. Skalevik 🟨
35′
D. Møller Wolfe 🔁
↦ M. Bruun-Hanssen
36′
36′
H. Bjørdal 0–4
O. Kallevåg 🔁
↦ T. Lotsberg
37′
O. Kolskogen 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–4
S. Nygård 🔁
↦ E. Iversen
46′
71′
🔁 O. Kamara
↦ M. Rijks
E. Steen 🟨
74′
K. Haga 🔁
↦ E. Steen
74′
E. Bangoura 🔁
↦ K. Larsen
80′
80′
🔁 N. Idumba
↦ A. Kiil Olsen
80′
🔁 A. Rønning
↦ P. Strand
86′
🔁 A. Hammer Kjelsen
↦ M. Kreuzriegler
1–4 S. Eng Strand
88′
89′
S. Eng Strand 2–4
own goal
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Asane

1 S. Lillevik
3 E. Steen
17 M. Bruun-Hanssen
4 O. Kolskogen
10 K. Barmen
19 K. Larsen
16 D. Fredriksen
5 E. Iversen
15 S. Eng Strand
27 T. Lotsberg
11 S. Skålevik
Bench (9)
22 D. Møller Wolfe
18 O. Kallevåg
20 S. Nygård
14 K. Haga
25 E. Bangoura
7 M. Thornes
12 O. Madsen
21 J. Berisha
54 H. Torkildsen-Espeland

Coach: M. Røssland

Valerenga

21 M. Sjøeng
6 V. Hedenstad
23 M. Kreuzriegler
2 C. Borchgrevink
4 A. Kiil Olsen
8 H. Bjørdal
24 P. Strand
7 M. Riisnæs
29 F. Ambina
9 M. Rijks
25 J. El Abdellaoui
Bench (7)
19 O. Kamara
5 N. Idumba
27 A. Rønning
3 A. Hammer Kjelsen
1 J. Storevik
14 O. Obasi
20 L. Apold-Aasen

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.