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NM-cupen

Referee: Tore Hansen

Valerenga

S T U S T

1–0

Full-time

Tromso

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Tromso

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

4,0

3,8

Scored

2,3

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — NM-cupen · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

3,5

6,0

Scored

3,5

6,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+3,5

+6,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Valerenga 18. · Tromso 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fredrikstad	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Lillestrom	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Ham-Kam	3	3	0	0	+9	9
4	Lysekloster	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Levanger	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Eidsvold	3	3	0	0	+4	9
7	KFUM Oslo	3	2	1	0	+5	7
8	Bryne	2	2	0	0	+17	6
9	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+12	6
10	Alta	2	2	0	0	+12	6
11	Stromsgodset	2	2	0	0	+10	6
12	Raufoss	2	2	0	0	+9	6
13	Brann	3	2	0	1	+8	6
14	Rosenborg	3	2	0	1	+7	6
15	Tromsdalen Uil	2	2	0	0	+7	6
16	Ranheim	2	2	0	0	+7	6
17	Stabaek	2	2	0	0	+7	6
18	Valerenga	2	2	0	0	+7	6
19	Bodo/Glimt	3	2	0	1	+6	6
20	Viking	2	2	0	0	+6	6
21	hodd	2	2	0	0	+6	6
22	Sandnes ULF	2	2	0	0	+6	6
23	Molde	2	2	0	0	+6	6
24	Asane	3	2	0	1	+5	6
25	Sarpsborg 08	2	2	0	0	+5	6
26	Arendal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
27	Odd	2	2	0	0	+3	6
28	Råde	2	2	0	0	+3	6
29	Kristiansund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
30	Kjelsås	3	2	0	1	+1	6
31	Egersund	3	2	0	1	+0	6
32	Sogndal	3	1	2	0	+4	5
33	Frøya	2	1	1	0	+2	4
34	Kongsvinger	2	1	0	1	+7	3
35	Hønefoss	2	1	0	1	+4	3
36	Eik-Tønsberg	2	1	0	1	+3	3
37	Træff	2	1	0	1	+3	3
38	Moss	2	1	0	1	+2	3
39	Mjondalen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
40	Strommen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
41	Strindheim	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Skeid	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Junkeren	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Skjervøy	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	Aalesund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
46	Elverum	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Stjørdals-Blink	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Lyn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Pors Grenland	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Flekkerøy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Bjarg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Ull/Kisa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Frigg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Jerv	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	Vard	2	1	0	1	-2	3
56	Oppsal	2	1	0	1	-2	3
57	Fram	2	1	0	1	-2	3
58	Bærum	2	1	0	1	-3	3
59	Melhus	2	1	0	1	-3	3
60	Fløya	2	1	0	1	-5	3
61	Djerv	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Sotra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Start	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Haugesund	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Torvastad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
66	Askøy	2	0	1	1	-3	1
67	Stord	2	0	1	1	-4	1
68	Mandalskameratene	2	0	1	1	-7	1
69	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Brattvåg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Mjølner	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Express	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Byåsen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Hei	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Madla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Gjelleråsen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Grorud	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Follo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Åskollen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Toten	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Ullern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Asker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Os	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Kvik Halden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Fana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Randesund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Gamle Oslo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Heming	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Funnefoss / Vormsund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Årvoll	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Fjøra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Ørn Horten	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Tiller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Rana	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	Union Carl Berner	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Førde	1	0	0	1	-4	0
108	Surnadal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
109	Sarpsborg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
110	Mosjøen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
111	Senja	1	0	0	1	-5	0
112	Volda	1	0	0	1	-5	0
113	Gjøvik-Lyn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
114	Eide	1	0	0	1	-5	0
115	Ridabu	1	0	0	1	-5	0
116	Varhaug	1	0	0	1	-5	0
117	Lyngbø	1	0	0	1	-6	0
118	Flint	1	0	0	1	-6	0
119	Brønnøysund	1	0	0	1	-6	0
120	Sortland	1	0	0	1	-6	0
121	Sverresborg	1	0	0	1	-6	0
122	Bjørkelangen	1	0	0	1	-7	0
123	Hallingdal	1	0	0	1	-7	0
124	Nybergsund	1	0	0	1	-8	0
125	Skreia	1	0	0	1	-8	0
126	Drøbak / Frogn	1	0	0	1	-10	0
127	Forus og Gausel	1	0	0	1	-10	0
128	Kirkenes	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Råde	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Eidsvold	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Hønefoss	2	1	0	1	+4	3
4	Træff	2	1	0	1	+3	3
5	Tromsdalen Uil	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Fredrikstad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	hodd	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Levanger	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Kjelsås	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Flekkerøy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Frigg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Oppsal	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Fram	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Melhus	2	1	0	1	-3	3
15	Frøya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Sogndal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Torvastad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Askøy	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Stord	2	0	1	1	-4	1
20	Mandalskameratene	2	0	1	1	-7	1
21	Strommen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Skeid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Brattvåg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Mjølner	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Strindheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Express	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Stjørdals-Blink	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Hei	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Skjervøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Madla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Bodo/Glimt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Elverum	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Gjelleråsen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Ull/Kisa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Egersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Åskollen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Toten	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Junkeren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Ullern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Asker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Os	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Fana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Randesund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Gamle Oslo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Heming	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Funnefoss / Vormsund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Årvoll	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Fjøra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Eik-Tønsberg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Jerv	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Ørn Horten	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Tiller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Bjarg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Rana	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Union Carl Berner	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Førde	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Sarpsborg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Vard	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Mosjøen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Senja	1	0	0	1	-5	0
72	Volda	1	0	0	1	-5	0
73	Bærum	1	0	0	1	-5	0
74	Eide	1	0	0	1	-5	0
75	Ridabu	1	0	0	1	-5	0
76	Varhaug	1	0	0	1	-5	0
77	Lyngbø	1	0	0	1	-6	0
78	Flint	1	0	0	1	-6	0
79	Fløya	1	0	0	1	-6	0
80	Brønnøysund	1	0	0	1	-6	0
81	Sortland	1	0	0	1	-6	0
82	Sverresborg	1	0	0	1	-6	0
83	Bjørkelangen	1	0	0	1	-7	0
84	Hallingdal	1	0	0	1	-7	0
85	Nybergsund	1	0	0	1	-8	0
86	Skreia	1	0	0	1	-8	0
87	Drøbak / Frogn	1	0	0	1	-10	0
88	Forus og Gausel	1	0	0	1	-10	0
89	Kirkenes	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Ham-Kam	3	3	0	0	+9	9
3	Lysekloster	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	KFUM Oslo	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Bryne	2	2	0	0	+17	6
6	Fredrikstad	2	2	0	0	+13	6
7	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+12	6
8	Alta	2	2	0	0	+12	6
9	Stromsgodset	2	2	0	0	+10	6
10	Raufoss	2	2	0	0	+9	6
11	Brann	3	2	0	1	+8	6
12	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+8	6
13	Rosenborg	3	2	0	1	+7	6
14	Ranheim	2	2	0	0	+7	6
15	Stabaek	2	2	0	0	+7	6
16	Valerenga	2	2	0	0	+7	6
17	Viking	2	2	0	0	+6	6
18	Sandnes ULF	2	2	0	0	+6	6
19	Molde	2	2	0	0	+6	6
20	Asane	3	2	0	1	+5	6
21	Sarpsborg 08	2	2	0	0	+5	6
22	Levanger	2	2	0	0	+5	6
23	Arendal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
24	Odd	2	2	0	0	+3	6
25	Kristiansund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
26	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
27	Sogndal	2	1	1	0	+4	4
28	Kongsvinger	2	1	0	1	+7	3
29	Eik-Tønsberg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
30	Tromsdalen Uil	1	1	0	0	+5	3
31	hodd	1	1	0	0	+5	3
32	Junkeren	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Bjarg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Vard	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Moss	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Strommen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Strindheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Skjervøy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Mjondalen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
40	Elverum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Bærum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Frøya	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Jerv	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Skeid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
45	Eidsvold	1	1	0	0	+2	3
46	Stjørdals-Blink	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Aalesund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
48	Fløya	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Ull/Kisa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Kjelsås	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Pors Grenland	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Lyn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Djerv	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Sotra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Start	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Haugesund	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Byåsen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Grorud	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Follo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Kvik Halden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Surnadal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Gjøvik-Lyn	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.