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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: S Hauge
Valerenga
S T S S S
5–1
Full-time
Moss
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Moss
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,5
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,8
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 55%
55%
55%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
55%
73%
Both score Ø 64%
73%
55%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Valerenga 4. · Moss 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kongsvinger 11 7 3 1 +7 24
2 Egersund 12 6 4 2 +6 22
3 Bryne 12 7 0 5 +3 21
4 Valerenga 11 6 2 3 +6 20
5 Moss 11 6 2 3 +2 20
6 Lyn 11 4 5 2 +9 17
7 Sogndal 12 4 5 3 +6 17
8 Stabaek 10 4 4 2 +5 16
9 Raufoss 11 4 3 4 +0 15
10 Levanger 11 2 6 3 +1 12
11 Ranheim 12 2 5 5 -2 11
12 Mjondalen 11 2 5 4 -2 11
13 Asane 12 2 4 6 -9 10
14 Start 12 2 4 6 -10 10
15 Aalesund 12 2 3 7 -10 9
16 Sandnes ULF 11 2 3 6 -12 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Moss
A. Rønning 🔁
↦ P. Strand
17′
1–0 A. Rønning
26′
41′
🟨 A. Potur
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 K. Strande
53′
🟨 I. Hoffmann
54′
🟨 I. Kukleci
M. Riisnaes 🟨
54′
2–0 O. Kamara
55′
3–0 M. Rijks
57′
58′
🟨 K. Harrison
59′
I. Hoffmann 3–1
61′
🔁 E. Björgólfs­son
↦ A. Håpnes
61′
🔁 N. Alexandersson
↦ A. Potur
4–1 J. El Abdellaoui
75′
77′
🔁 João Barros
↦ M. Andresen
F. Thorvaldsen 🔁
↦ M. Rijks
83′
88′
🔁 O. Kjeilen Stavdal
↦ K. Harrison
O. Obasi 🔁
↦ J. El Abdellaoui
92′
L. Apold-Aasen 🔁
↦ O. Kamara
92′
5–1 F. Thorvaldsen
93′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Valerenga

21 M. Sjøeng
6 V. Hedenstad
23 M. Kreuzriegler
2 C. Borchgrevink
4 A. Kiil Olsen
8 H. Bjørdal
24 P. Strand
7 M. Riisnæs
19 O. Kamara
9 M. Rijks
25 J. El Abdellaoui
Bench (8)
27 A. Rønning
26 F. Thorvaldsen
14 O. Obasi
20 L. Apold-Aasen
1 J. Storevik
3 A. Hammer Kjelsen
5 N. Idumba
31 O. Bully

Coach: G. Bakke

Moss

1 M. Ranmark
3 K. Strande
21 I. Hoffmann
31 K. Harrison
5 I. Kukleci
2 M. Andresen
20 A. Potur
6 A. Håpnes
10 B. Hegland
9 S. Pedersen
11 T. Jakobsen
Bench (9)
19 E. Björgólfs­son
23 N. Alexandersson
24 João Barros
16 O. Kjeilen Stavdal
4 H. Gjesdal
8 V. Hellestø
12 E. Myrhaug Bachke
14 A. Lajqi
15 A. Hussein

Coach: T. Myhre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Hauge · 97 kamper i vår database

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.