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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
FC Aarau
T
1–0
Full-time
Grasshoppers
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Aarau Grasshoppers
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
4,0
3,2
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
4,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-4,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 1/39 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
26%
Points per game
0,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
100%
54%
Both score Ø 30%
0%
59%
Average goals
4,0
2,6
Scored
0,0
1,2
Conceded
4,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-4,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Basel 38 22 7 9 +48 +22.4 73
2 Servette 38 17 12 9 +9 +0.7 63
3 Young Boys 38 17 10 11 +11 +8.2 61
4 Lugano 38 15 9 14 -3 +7.7 54
5 Lausanne 38 14 11 13 +8 +10.2 53
6 Zurich 38 15 8 15 -1 -2.2 53
7 Luzern 38 14 10 14 +2 +8.1 52
8 St. Gallen 38 13 13 12 -1 -5.6 52
9 Sion 38 11 11 16 -10 -1.7 44
10 Grasshoppers 39 10 12 17 -6 -8.1 42
11 Winterthur 38 11 7 20 -25 -20.1 40
12 Yverdon 38 9 12 17 -28 -17.1 39

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. May -25 Grasshoppers – FC Aarau 4–0

Match report

FC Aarau Grasshoppers
21′
🟨 A. Seko
37′
🟨 N. Irankunda
L. Obexer 🔁
↦ M. Dickenmann
42′
Half-time 0–0
N. Gjorgjev 🔁
↦ H. Koide
46′
E. Filet 🟨
47′
C. Odutayo 🔁
↦ R. Kessler
58′
R. Bobadilla 🔁
↦ E. Filet
58′
60′
🔁 S. Decarli
↦ A. Abrashi
78′
🟨 N. Muci
81′
🔁 P. Schürpf
↦ N. Irankunda
81′
🔁 T. Turhan
↦ N. Muci
81′
🔁 S. Kittel
↦ T. Verón Lupi
1–0 L. Obexer ⚽
82′
90′
🔁 T. Ndenge
↦ S. Decarli
Y. Toure 🔁
↦ M. Fofana
95′
100′
🟨 B. Schmitz
L. Obexer 🟨
103′
103′
🟨 S. Kittel
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

FC Aarau

1 M. Hübel
2 M. Thaler
15 S. Müller
5 D. Acquah
29 M. Dickenmann
38 R. Kessler
10 V. Fazliu
47 M. Fofana
26 S. Bahloul
17 H. Koide
11 E. Filet
Bench (9)
27 L. Obexer
23 N. Gjorgjev
31 C. Odutayo
32 R. Bobadilla
9 Y. Toure
8 O. Jäckle
25 D. Derbaci
30 A. Hirzel
4 B. Hasani

Coach: B. Iacopetta

Grasshoppers

71 J. Hammel
22 B. Schmitz
2 D. Abels
15 A. Seko
26 M. Paskotši
16 N. Persson
6 A. Abrashi
53 T. Meyer
17 T. Verón Lupi
9 N. Muci
66 N. Irankunda
Bench (9)
3 S. Decarli
11 P. Schürpf
59 T. Turhan
8 S. Kittel
7 T. Ndenge
56 L. Kabashi
28 S. Stroscio
29 M. Kuttin
51 L. Giandomenico

Coach: T. Oral

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.