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LaLiga2
Referee: Germán Cid
Castellon
T S T U T
4–1
Full-time
Zaragoza
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 41/41 matches
Win Ø 32%
32%
32%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

46% Possession 54%
23 Shots 12
11 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 5
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Castellon 18. · Zaragoza 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 41 21 13 7 +26 76
2 Elche 41 21 11 9 +21 74
3 Mirandes 41 21 9 11 +17 72
4 Oviedo 41 20 12 9 +13 72
5 Santander 41 19 11 11 +13 68
6 Almeria 41 18 12 11 +15 66
7 Granada 41 18 11 12 +12 65
8 Huesca 41 17 10 14 +8 61
9 Eibar 41 15 13 13 +4 58
10 Albacete 41 15 12 14 +0 57
11 Cadiz 41 14 13 14 +3 55
12 Cordoba 41 14 12 15 -4 54
13 Burgos 41 15 9 17 -7 54
14 La Coruna 41 13 14 14 +6 53
15 Sp Gijon 41 13 14 14 +1 53
16 Malaga 41 12 16 13 -4 52
17 Zaragoza 41 13 12 16 -4 51
18 Castellon 41 13 11 17 -1 50
19 Eldense 41 11 12 18 -18 45
20 Tenerife 41 8 12 21 -18 36
21 Ferrol 41 6 12 23 -40 30
22 Cartagena 41 6 5 30 -43 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Castellon Zaragoza
1–0 Raúl Sánchez
Cala
2′
2–0 Raúl Sánchez
A. Lottin
16′
Sergio Moyita 🟨
20′
Thomas Van den Belt 🟨
29′
3–0 Sergio Moyita
A. Mabil
33′
Half-time 3–0
Ousmane Camara 🟨
47′
49′
🟨 Enrique Clemente
4–0 Cala
A. Mabil
50′
De Miguel 🔁
↦ Cala
54′
Josep Calavera 🔁
↦ Sergio Moyita
54′
Salva Ruiz 🔁
↦ Alberto Jiménez
54′
60′
🔁 Adrian Liso
↦ Enrique Clemente
60′
🔁 Dani Gómez
↦ S. Baždar
60′
🔁 Pau Sans
↦ Raúl Guti
65′
Dani Gómez 4–1
70′
🔁 Marcos Luna
↦ Iván Calero
75′
🔁 Hugo Pinilla
↦ Pau Sans
B. Cipenga 🔁
↦ O. Camara
76′
G. Crettaz 🔁
↦ A. Abedzadeh
84′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Castellon

3-4-1-2
13 A. Abedzadeh G
5 Alberto Jiménez D
14 Óscar Gil D
33 J. Vertrouwd D
18 A. Lottin M
6 T. van den Belt M
7 Sergio Moyita M
10 Raúl Sánchez M
21 Cala F
19 A. Mabil F
24 O. Camara F
Bench (12)
9 De Miguel
23 Josep Calavera
17 Salva Ruiz
16 B. Cipenga
1 G. Crettaz
25 J. Escobar
20 N. Markanich
51 Gonzalo Pastor
2 G. Zarfino
3 M. Traoré
37 Mauro Costa
12 M. Jojić

Coach: J. Plat

Zaragoza

4-2-3-1
25 Joan Femenías G
19 Iván Calero D
15 Bernardo Vital D
3 Jair Amador D
5 Enrique Clemente D
14 Francho Serrano M
21 Toni Moya M
23 Ager Aketxe M
10 Raúl Guti M
20 Adu Ares M
11 S. Baždar F
Bench (10)
33 Adrian Liso
9 Dani Gómez
29 Pau Sans
2 Marcos Luna
27 Hugo Pinilla
38 Jaime Vallejo
30 Aitor Mañas
40 Carlos Calavia
13 G. Poussin
34 Lucas Terrer

Coach: Gabi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,00
U
3,73
B
3,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,45
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Germán Cid · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.