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Süper Lig

Referee: K Sağlam

Kayserispor

S S U S T

4–3

Full-time

Hatayspor

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Hatayspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,2

This season — Süper Lig · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 42%

35%

48%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

48%

57%

Both score Ø 50%

52%

48%

Average goals

2,7

2,9

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

10 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 11. · Hatayspor 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	23	16	6	1	+24	54
2	Konyaspor	22	13	6	3	+18	45
3	Alanyaspor	23	11	5	7	+8	38
4	Ad. Demirspor	23	10	7	6	+10	37
5	Fenerbahce	23	10	7	6	+8	37
6	Besiktas	23	10	6	7	+4	36
7	Hatayspor	23	11	3	9	-2	36
8	Buyuksehyr	22	10	4	8	+8	34
9	Gaziantep	22	9	5	8	-1	32
10	Sivasspor	23	7	10	6	+6	31
11	Kayserispor	23	8	7	8	-1	31
12	Karagumruk	23	8	6	9	-7	30
13	Kasimpasa	23	7	6	10	-1	27
14	Goztep	23	7	6	10	-3	27
15	Galatasaray	23	7	6	10	-5	27
16	Giresunspor	23	7	5	11	-3	26
17	Antalyaspor	23	6	6	11	-11	24
18	Rizespor	23	6	4	13	-18	22
19	Altay	23	5	3	15	-14	18
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	22	4	4	14	-20	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Konyaspor	12	8	3	1	+11	27
2	Gaziantep	10	8	2	0	+13	26
3	Trabzonspor	11	7	4	0	+12	25
4	Besiktas	11	8	1	2	+8	25
5	Kayserispor	11	7	3	1	+12	24
6	Buyuksehyr	11	7	1	3	+8	22
7	Ad. Demirspor	11	6	3	2	+12	21
8	Fenerbahce	11	6	3	2	+9	21
9	Hatayspor	11	6	2	3	+6	20
10	Rizespor	12	6	2	4	+3	20
11	Antalyaspor	12	5	4	3	+4	19
12	Alanyaspor	11	5	3	3	+8	18
13	Kasimpasa	12	5	3	4	+4	18
14	Sivasspor	12	3	8	1	+8	17
15	Galatasaray	12	5	2	5	+1	17
16	Karagumruk	11	4	4	3	+3	16
17	Goztep	12	4	2	6	-1	14
18	Giresunspor	12	4	2	6	-2	14
19	Altay	11	3	1	7	-5	10
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	12	2	3	7	-12	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	12	9	2	1	+12	29
2	Alanyaspor	12	6	2	4	+0	20
3	Konyaspor	10	5	3	2	+7	18
4	Fenerbahce	12	4	4	4	-1	16
5	Ad. Demirspor	12	4	4	4	-2	16
6	Hatayspor	12	5	1	6	-8	16
7	Sivasspor	11	4	2	5	-2	14
8	Karagumruk	12	4	2	6	-10	14
9	Goztep	11	3	4	4	-2	13
10	Buyuksehyr	11	3	3	5	+0	12
11	Giresunspor	11	3	3	5	-1	12
12	Besiktas	12	2	5	5	-4	11
13	Galatasaray	11	2	4	5	-6	10
14	Kasimpasa	11	2	3	6	-5	9
15	Altay	12	2	2	8	-9	8
16	Yeni Malatyaspor	10	2	1	7	-8	7
17	Kayserispor	12	1	4	7	-13	7
18	Gaziantep	12	1	3	8	-14	6
19	Antalyaspor	11	1	2	8	-15	5
20	Rizespor	11	0	2	9	-21	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.