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Süper Lig

Referee: Yasar Kemal Ugurlu

Hatayspor

S U S S U

1–3

Full-time

Kayserispor

U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Kayserispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

1,7

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

This season — Süper Lig · 27/26 matches

Win Ø 38%

48%

27%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

56%

27%

Both score Ø 45%

52%

38%

Average goals

2,9

1,9

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

56% Possession 44%

10 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

3 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hatayspor 5. · Kayserispor 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	27	19	3	5	+32	60
2	Galatasaray	27	18	3	6	+32	57
3	Fenerbahce	27	17	4	6	+21	55
4	Trabzonspor	27	15	6	6	+8	51
5	Hatayspor	27	13	7	7	+15	46
6	Alanyaspor	27	12	7	8	+14	43
7	Gaziantep	28	11	10	7	+8	43
8	Karagumruk	28	11	8	9	+6	41
9	Goztep	27	9	9	9	+5	36
10	Antalyaspor	27	7	14	6	-5	35
11	Sivasspor	26	7	12	7	-1	33
12	Konyaspor	26	8	8	10	+2	32
13	Yeni Malatyaspor	28	7	10	11	-4	31
14	Kasimpasa	27	8	5	14	-13	29
15	Kayserispor	26	7	7	12	-12	28
16	Rizespor	27	6	10	11	-13	28
17	Ankaragücü	27	7	5	15	-14	26
18	Buyuksehyr	27	6	8	13	-16	26
19	Erzurumspor	27	6	8	13	-17	26
20	Denizlispor	27	6	6	15	-22	24
21	Genclerbirligi	26	5	6	15	-26	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	14	11	1	2	+24	34
2	Galatasaray	13	9	3	1	+24	30
3	Alanyaspor	14	9	3	2	+17	30
4	Gaziantep	14	8	5	1	+12	29
5	Karagumruk	14	8	2	4	+10	26
6	Fenerbahce	14	7	2	5	+5	23
7	Goztep	13	6	4	3	+10	22
8	Hatayspor	13	6	4	3	+9	22
9	Trabzonspor	13	7	1	5	+1	22
10	Konyaspor	13	5	5	3	+6	20
11	Rizespor	13	5	5	3	+1	20
12	Antalyaspor	13	5	5	3	-1	20
13	Kasimpasa	14	6	2	6	-4	20
14	Yeni Malatyaspor	14	5	4	5	+2	19
15	Ankaragücü	13	5	2	6	-1	17
16	Kayserispor	13	4	4	5	-3	16
17	Sivasspor	13	3	6	4	-1	15
18	Buyuksehyr	14	3	6	5	-3	15
19	Denizlispor	14	4	3	7	-5	15
20	Genclerbirligi	13	3	4	6	-8	13
21	Erzurumspor	14	1	7	6	-8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	13	10	2	1	+16	32
2	Trabzonspor	14	8	5	1	+7	29
3	Galatasaray	14	9	0	5	+8	27
4	Besiktas	13	8	2	3	+8	26
5	Hatayspor	14	7	3	4	+6	24
6	Sivasspor	13	4	6	3	+0	18
7	Erzurumspor	13	5	1	7	-9	16
8	Karagumruk	14	3	6	5	-4	15
9	Antalyaspor	14	2	9	3	-4	15
10	Gaziantep	14	3	5	6	-4	14
11	Goztep	14	3	5	6	-5	14
12	Alanyaspor	13	3	4	6	-3	13
13	Konyaspor	13	3	3	7	-4	12
14	Yeni Malatyaspor	14	2	6	6	-6	12
15	Kayserispor	13	3	3	7	-9	12
16	Buyuksehyr	13	3	2	8	-13	11
17	Kasimpasa	13	2	3	8	-9	9
18	Ankaragücü	14	2	3	9	-13	9
19	Denizlispor	13	2	3	8	-17	9
20	Rizespor	14	1	5	8	-14	8
21	Genclerbirligi	13	2	2	9	-18	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.