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Süper Lig

Referee: Ozgur Yankaya

Kayserispor

U T U U T

6–3

Full-time

Denizlispor

U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Denizlispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

This season — Süper Lig · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 20%

23%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

34%

43%

Both score Ø 49%

43%

54%

Average goals

2,1

2,7

Scored

0,8

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

49% Possession 51%

18 Shots 16

15 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 9

7 Corners 6

3 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Kayserispor 19. · Denizlispor 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	35	23	6	6	+39	75
2	Fenerbahce	35	22	6	7	+28	72
3	Galatasaray	35	21	6	8	+34	69
4	Trabzonspor	36	17	12	7	+11	63
5	Hatayspor	36	16	9	11	+16	57
6	Alanyaspor	36	16	8	12	+16	56
7	Sivasspor	35	12	16	7	+7	52
8	Gaziantep	35	13	12	10	+8	51
9	Karagumruk	35	13	11	11	+7	50
10	Goztep	35	12	11	12	+3	47
11	Konyaspor	35	10	12	13	-3	42
12	Rizespor	35	10	12	13	-11	42
13	Antalyaspor	36	9	15	12	-12	42
14	Yeni Malatyaspor	35	9	13	13	-5	40
15	Ankaragücü	35	10	8	17	-13	38
16	Kasimpasa	36	9	10	17	-15	37
17	Buyuksehyr	35	9	10	16	-16	37
18	Erzurumspor	36	9	10	17	-21	37
19	Kayserispor	35	8	11	16	-19	35
20	Genclerbirligi	36	9	8	19	-27	35
21	Denizlispor	35	6	10	19	-27	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	18	13	3	2	+29	42
2	Alanyaspor	18	12	3	3	+22	39
3	Gaziantep	18	10	6	2	+15	36
4	Galatasaray	17	9	6	2	+23	33
5	Karagumruk	17	10	3	4	+14	33
6	Fenerbahce	18	10	2	6	+8	32
7	Hatayspor	18	9	4	5	+12	31
8	Trabzonspor	18	9	3	6	+4	30
9	Goztep	17	8	4	5	+10	28
10	Rizespor	17	7	7	3	+4	28
11	Ankaragücü	17	8	3	6	+4	27
12	Yeni Malatyaspor	18	7	6	5	+4	27
13	Konyaspor	18	6	8	4	+4	26
14	Kasimpasa	18	7	4	7	-4	25
15	Antalyaspor	18	6	6	6	-3	24
16	Sivasspor	17	5	8	4	+2	23
17	Genclerbirligi	18	5	5	8	-8	20
18	Buyuksehyr	18	4	7	7	-3	19
19	Denizlispor	18	4	6	8	-6	18
20	Kayserispor	17	4	6	7	-7	18
21	Erzurumspor	18	2	8	8	-10	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	17	12	4	1	+20	40
2	Galatasaray	18	12	0	6	+11	36
3	Besiktas	17	10	3	4	+10	33
4	Trabzonspor	18	8	9	1	+7	33
5	Sivasspor	18	7	8	3	+5	29
6	Hatayspor	18	7	5	6	+4	26
7	Erzurumspor	18	7	2	9	-11	23
8	Goztep	18	4	7	7	-7	19
9	Antalyaspor	18	3	9	6	-9	18
10	Buyuksehyr	17	5	3	9	-13	18
11	Alanyaspor	18	4	5	9	-6	17
12	Karagumruk	18	3	8	7	-7	17
13	Kayserispor	18	4	5	9	-12	17
14	Konyaspor	17	4	4	9	-7	16
15	Gaziantep	17	3	6	8	-7	15
16	Genclerbirligi	18	4	3	11	-19	15
17	Rizespor	18	3	5	10	-15	14
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	17	2	7	8	-9	13
19	Kasimpasa	18	2	6	10	-11	12
20	Ankaragücü	18	2	5	11	-17	11
21	Denizlispor	17	2	4	11	-21	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.