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Süper Lig

Referee: Ali Sansalan

Denizlispor

T S S T U

0–1

Full-time

Kayserispor

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Denizlispor Kayserispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

This season — Süper Lig · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 17%

20%

13%

Points per game

0,9

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

53%

27%

Both score Ø 47%

53%

40%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,1

0,6

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

14 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Denizlispor 19. · Kayserispor 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gaziantep	16	8	7	1	+13	31
2	Besiktas	15	10	1	4	+12	31
3	Alanyaspor	16	9	3	4	+15	30
4	Galatasaray	16	9	3	4	+14	30
5	Fenerbahce	15	9	2	4	+10	29
6	Hatayspor	15	8	3	4	+5	27
7	Trabzonspor	16	6	5	5	-2	23
8	Konyaspor	16	6	4	6	+4	22
9	Karagumruk	15	5	6	4	+5	21
10	Yeni Malatyaspor	16	5	6	5	-1	21
11	Rizespor	15	5	5	5	-2	20
12	Goztep	15	4	7	4	+3	19
13	Sivasspor	16	4	7	5	-3	19
14	Kasimpasa	16	5	4	7	-8	19
15	Antalyaspor	16	4	6	6	-9	18
16	Buyuksehyr	15	4	4	7	-6	16
17	Genclerbirligi	15	4	4	7	-9	16
18	Ankaragücü	16	4	3	9	-6	15
19	Denizlispor	15	3	4	8	-10	13
20	Erzurumspor	16	3	4	9	-13	13
21	Kayserispor	15	2	4	9	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	8	6	2	0	+15	20
2	Gaziantep	8	5	3	0	+9	18
3	Karagumruk	8	5	2	1	+10	17
4	Hatayspor	8	5	2	1	+8	17
5	Besiktas	7	5	1	1	+11	16
6	Galatasaray	8	4	3	1	+7	15
7	Yeni Malatyaspor	8	4	3	1	+4	15
8	Konyaspor	8	4	2	2	+5	14
9	Rizespor	8	4	2	2	+0	14
10	Kasimpasa	8	4	2	2	-1	14
11	Antalyaspor	8	4	1	3	-3	13
12	Goztep	8	3	3	2	+5	12
13	Ankaragücü	8	3	1	4	+1	10
14	Fenerbahce	7	3	1	3	+0	10
15	Trabzonspor	8	3	1	4	-3	10
16	Buyuksehyr	7	2	3	2	+2	9
17	Genclerbirligi	7	2	3	2	-3	9
18	Sivasspor	8	1	3	4	-4	6
19	Denizlispor	7	1	2	4	-4	5
20	Kayserispor	8	1	2	5	-7	5
21	Erzurumspor	8	0	4	4	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	8	6	1	1	+10	19
2	Galatasaray	8	5	0	3	+7	15
3	Besiktas	8	5	0	3	+1	15
4	Gaziantep	8	3	4	1	+4	13
5	Sivasspor	8	3	4	1	+1	13
6	Trabzonspor	8	3	4	1	+1	13
7	Alanyaspor	8	3	1	4	+0	10
8	Hatayspor	7	3	1	3	-3	10
9	Erzurumspor	8	3	0	5	-9	9
10	Konyaspor	8	2	2	4	-1	8
11	Denizlispor	8	2	2	4	-6	8
12	Goztep	7	1	4	2	-2	7
13	Genclerbirligi	8	2	1	5	-6	7
14	Buyuksehyr	8	2	1	5	-8	7
15	Rizespor	7	1	3	3	-2	6
16	Yeni Malatyaspor	8	1	3	4	-5	6
17	Kayserispor	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	Antalyaspor	8	0	5	3	-6	5
19	Kasimpasa	8	1	2	5	-7	5
20	Ankaragücü	8	1	2	5	-7	5
21	Karagumruk	7	0	4	3	-5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.