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Super League
Referee: G Kominis
2–0
Full-time
Panionios
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Panionios
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,7
This season — Super League · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 20%
25%
15%
Points per game
0,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
65%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
65%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

7 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 8
6 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 13. · Panionios 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 22 17 5 0 +37 56
2 PAOK 21 14 5 2 +21 47
3 AEK 21 11 5 5 +14 38
4 Panathinaikos 22 8 8 6 +0 32
5 OFI Crete 22 9 3 10 +5 30
6 Larisa 22 7 7 8 -4 28
7 Atromitos 21 7 6 8 -3 27
8 Aris 19 6 8 5 +7 26
9 Aris Thessalonikis 19 6 8 5 +7 26
10 Xanthi 20 8 2 10 -8 26
11 Volos NFC 22 7 4 11 -18 25
12 Lamia 20 5 9 6 -9 24
13 Asteras Tripolis 20 5 3 12 -6 18
14 Panionios 20 3 4 13 -21 13
15 Panetolikos 21 1 7 13 -22 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis Panionios
Adrián Riera 🔁
↦ Sito
18′
1–0 J. Barrales
35′
Walter Iglesias 🟨
41′
Patricio Matricardi 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Saramantas
↦ G. Kiakos
46′
🔁 G. Papanikolaou
↦ N. Milojević
2–0 M. Iglesias
Marc Fernández
52′
Triantafyllos Pasalidis 🟨
60′
Jeronimo Barrales 🟨
63′
José Luis Valiente 🔁
↦ M. Iglesias
66′
Giannis Kotsiras 🟨
74′
Luis Fernández 🔁
↦ Xesc Regis
78′
80′
🔁 K. Doumtsios
↦ T. Papageorgiou
82′
🟨 Giannis Papanikolaou
Jeronimo Barrales 🟨
90′
Jeronimo Barrales 🟥
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

4-4-1-1
1 N. Papadopoulos G
3 C. Tasoulis M
34 P. Matricardi D
4 T. Pasalidis D
27 G. Kotsiras D
17 M. Iglesias M
12 J. Munafo M
7 Marc Fernández F
40 Sito F
30 J. Barrales F
11 Xesc Regis F
Bench (7)
23 Adrián Riera
6 José Luis Valiente
10 Luis Fernández
37 V. Vlachos
33 Ángel Martínez
93 N. Michael
8 Borja Fernández

Coach: M. Rastavac

Panionios

3-5-2
12 M. Kotnik G
22 T. Papageorgiou D
5 Domingues D
31 G. Masouras D
4 S. Evangelou D
14 D. Stavropoulos D
7 P. Korbos M
44 N. Milojević M
10 B. Arabuli F
77 D. Emmanouilidis M
19 G. Kiakos F
Bench (7)
3 G. Saramantas
27 G. Papanikolaou
9 K. Doumtsios
67 J. Malherbe
18 V. Rentzas
28 F. Grivas
16 I. Oikonomidis

Coach: N. Papavasiliou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
3,66
B
5,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Kominis · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.