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Super League
Referee: A Koutsiaftis
Panionios
T S U T T
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panionios Asteras Tripolis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
This season — Super League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

10 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 25
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panionios 13. · Asteras Tripolis 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 8 7 1 0 +12 22
2 PAOK 7 4 3 0 +4 15
3 Xanthi 7 5 0 2 +2 15
4 OFI Crete 8 4 2 2 +7 14
5 Larisa 8 3 3 2 +3 12
6 Volos NFC 7 4 0 3 -4 12
7 AEK 6 3 2 1 +3 11
8 Aris 7 2 2 3 +2 8
9 Atromitos 6 2 2 2 +1 8
10 Aris Thessalonikis 6 1 2 3 +1 5
11 Panathinaikos 7 1 2 4 -10 5
12 Lamia 6 0 4 2 -4 4
13 Panionios 6 1 1 4 -5 4
14 Asteras Tripolis 6 1 0 5 -5 3
15 Panetolikos 7 0 2 5 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panionios Asteras Tripolis
16′
🟨 Eneko Jauregi
J. Malherbe 🔁
↦ M. Kotnik
20′
44′
Marc Fernández 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Panagiotis Korbos 🟨
51′
52′
🔁 Borja Fernández
↦ Adrián Riera
S. Tsiloulis 🔁
↦ K. Doumtsios
58′
S. Sidi Ali 🔁
↦ G. Papanikolaou
74′
Sotiris Tsiloulis 🟨
82′
84′
🔁 G. Kotsiras
↦ Sito
88′
🔁 J. Barrales
↦ Eneko Jauregi
89′
🟨 Eneko Capilla
Giannis Masouras 🟨
90′
Panagiotis Korbos 🟨
90′
Panagiotis Korbos 🟥
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Panionios

4-1-4-1
12 M. Kotnik G
31 G. Masouras D
4 S. Evangelou D
14 D. Stavropoulos D
13 O. Lymperakis -
8 N. Maksimović M
7 P. Korbos M
44 N. Milojević M
27 G. Papanikolaou M
9 K. Doumtsios F
10 B. Arabuli F
Bench (7)
67 J. Malherbe
23 S. Tsiloulis
17 S. Sidi Ali
16 I. Oikonomidis
2 G. Maniatis
22 T. Papageorgiou
3 G. Saramantas

Coach: N. Papavasiliou

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
1 N. Papadopoulos G
33 Ángel Martínez D
37 V. Vlachos
15 Dani Suárez D
34 P. Matricardi D
7 Marc Fernández F
5 Eneko Capilla M
40 Sito F
6 José Luis Valiente M
23 Adrián Riera F
19 Eneko Jauregi F
Bench (7)
8 Borja Fernández
27 G. Kotsiras
30 J. Barrales
12 J. Munafo
93 N. Michael
3 C. Tasoulis
17 M. Iglesias

Coach: Borja Jiménez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,64
U
3,09
B ✓
2,68
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,30
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Koutsiaftis · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
31,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.