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Süper Lig
Referee: Z Küçük
3–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genclerbirligi Yeni Malatyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,7
This season — Süper Lig · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 34%
25%
42%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
58%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,4
2,1
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
16 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 2
1 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genclerbirligi 13. · Yeni Malatyaspor 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sivasspor 12 7 3 2 +12 24
2 Trabzonspor 12 6 4 2 +10 22
3 Buyuksehyr 12 6 4 2 +6 22
4 Fenerbahce 12 6 3 3 +9 21
5 Besiktas 12 6 3 3 +2 21
6 Yeni Malatyaspor 12 5 4 3 +12 19
7 Alanyaspor 12 5 4 3 +6 19
8 Galatasaray 12 5 4 3 +3 19
9 Goztep 12 4 4 4 -1 16
10 Gaziantep 12 4 4 4 -5 16
11 Denizlispor 12 4 2 6 -2 14
12 Rizespor 12 4 2 6 -9 14
13 Genclerbirligi 12 3 4 5 +0 13
14 Konyaspor 12 3 4 5 -5 13
15 Kasimpasa 12 3 3 6 -3 12
16 Antalyaspor 12 3 3 6 -9 12
17 Ankaragücü 12 2 3 7 -12 9
18 Kayserispor 12 1 4 7 -14 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genclerbirligi Yeni Malatyaspor
Erdem Özgenç 🟨
32′
44′
T. Bifouma 0–1
G. Töre
Half-time 0–1
F. Ayité 🔁
↦ B. Özdemir
46′
1–1 G. Sio
S. Sessègnon
52′
62′
🔁 M. Yıldırım
↦ A. Ildız
S. Diallo 🔁
↦ E. Özgenç
65′
71′
🔁 Guilherme
↦ G. Töre
74′
🟨 Murat Yildirim
2–1 B. Stancu
76′
79′
🔁 M. Fofana
↦ A. Acquah
85′
R. Yalçın 2–2
M. Yıldırım
88′
R. Yalçın 2–3
R. Berişbek 🔁
↦ Candeias
89′
Giovanni Sio 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Moryke Fofana
3–3 R. Berişbek
91′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Genclerbirligi

4-2-3-1
25 E. Özbir G
15 Z. Touré D
22 E. Özgenç D
32 Flavio D
3 H. Pehlivan M
10 S. Sessègnon M
8 Fabricio Baiano M
5 B. Özdemir M
9 B. Stancu F
21 Candeias M
13 G. Sio M
Bench (10)
11 F. Ayité
28 S. Diallo
19 R. Berişbek
24 A. Kızıldağ
6 Y. Pehlivan
39 P. Polomat
1 Ü. Adıyaman
7 N. Çiftçi
4 M. Bjärsmyr
20 M. Seuntjens

Coach: H. Hamzaoğlu

Yeni Malatyaspor

4-2-3-1
30 F. Farnolle G
91 S. Aytaç D
15 M. Akbaş D
29 I. Chebake D
44 A. Mina D
7 G. Töre M
19 A. Acquah M
6 R. Yalçın M
14 A. Ildız M
18 A. Jahović F
10 T. Bifouma M
Bench (10)
8 M. Yıldırım
66 Guilherme
21 M. Fofana
25 G. Chalali
20 M. Donald
11 E. Tozlu
35 U. Ceylan
3 E. Kaş
77 R. Çağıran
76 Ö. Özdemir

Coach: S. Yalçın

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,18
U ✓
3,40
B
3,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,01
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Z Küçük · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.