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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie

Heerenveen

S U U S T

3–2

Full-time

Vitesse

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 43%

36%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

43%

71%

Both score Ø 61%

64%

57%

Average goals

2,6

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

51% Possession 49%

17 Shots 19

8 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 5

7 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 7. · Vitesse 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	12	2	0	+37	38
2	AZ Alkmaar	14	10	2	2	+26	32
3	PSV Eindhoven	14	8	3	3	+13	27
4	Utrecht	14	7	2	5	+7	23
5	Vitesse	14	7	2	5	+3	23
6	Willem II	14	7	2	5	-2	23
7	Heerenveen	14	5	6	3	+5	21
8	Heracles	14	6	3	5	+3	21
9	Groningen	14	6	3	5	+3	21
10	Feyenoord	14	5	6	3	+1	21
11	Sparta Rotterdam	14	5	4	5	+0	19
12	Twente	14	5	3	6	-2	18
13	FC Emmen	14	4	2	8	-12	14
14	Zwolle	14	4	1	9	-11	13
15	For Sittard	14	3	3	8	-16	12
16	VVV Venlo	14	4	0	10	-24	12
17	Den Haag	14	3	2	9	-9	11
18	Waalwijk	14	1	2	11	-22	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	7	0	0	+26	21
2	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	1	1	+14	16
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	Utrecht	7	5	0	2	+11	15
5	Heracles	7	4	1	2	+8	13
6	Sparta Rotterdam	7	4	1	2	+6	13
7	Groningen	7	4	1	2	+6	13
8	Vitesse	7	4	1	2	+4	13
9	FC Emmen	7	4	1	2	+4	13
10	Willem II	7	4	1	2	+1	13
11	Feyenoord	7	3	3	1	+3	12
12	Twente	7	3	2	2	+4	11
13	For Sittard	7	3	2	2	+4	11
14	Heerenveen	7	2	5	0	+2	11
15	Zwolle	7	3	1	3	+0	10
16	VVV Venlo	7	3	0	4	-9	9
17	Den Haag	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	Waalwijk	7	1	1	5	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	1	1	+12	16
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	3	2	2	+4	11
4	Heerenveen	7	3	1	3	+3	10
5	Vitesse	7	3	1	3	-1	10
6	Willem II	7	3	1	3	-3	10
7	Feyenoord	7	2	3	2	-2	9
8	Groningen	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Utrecht	7	2	2	3	-4	8
10	Heracles	7	2	2	3	-5	8
11	Twente	7	2	1	4	-6	7
12	Den Haag	7	2	0	5	-4	6
13	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	3	3	-6	6
14	Zwolle	7	1	0	6	-11	3
15	VVV Venlo	7	1	0	6	-15	3
16	Waalwijk	7	0	1	6	-15	1
17	FC Emmen	7	0	1	6	-16	1
18	For Sittard	7	0	1	6	-20	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.