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Süper Lig
Referee: Z Küçük
Hatayspor
S S S T S
2–1
Full-time
Gaziantep
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Gaziantep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,0
This season — Süper Lig · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 51%
63%
38%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 7. · Gaziantep 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 9 6 3 0 +10 21
2 Fenerbahce 9 6 1 2 +4 19
3 Besiktas 9 5 2 2 +7 17
4 Karagumruk 9 5 2 2 +4 17
5 Galatasaray 9 5 2 2 +2 17
6 Alanyaspor 9 5 2 2 +0 17
7 Hatayspor 8 5 1 2 +10 16
8 Altay 9 5 0 4 +1 15
9 Konyaspor 9 3 5 1 +3 14
10 Ad. Demirspor 9 3 3 3 +0 12
11 Gaziantep 8 3 2 3 -1 11
12 Kayserispor 9 3 2 4 -2 11
13 Sivasspor 9 2 4 3 +2 10
14 Buyuksehyr 9 3 0 6 -1 9
15 Antalyaspor 9 2 3 4 -4 9
16 Yeni Malatyaspor 9 3 0 6 -7 9
17 Goztep 9 2 2 5 -4 8
18 Giresunspor 9 2 2 5 -4 8
19 Kasimpasa 9 1 3 5 -5 6
20 Rizespor 9 0 1 8 -15 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hatayspor Gaziantep
Mame Biram Diouf 🟨
39′
39′
🟨 Muhammet Demir
Half-time 0–0
Mame Biram Diouf ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
50′
51′
🟨 Steven Caulker
1–0 M. Diouf ⚽
52′
M. Kamara 🔁
↦ E. Çolak
53′
Rúben Ribeiro 🟨
57′
62′
🔁 Á. Sagal
↦ A. Merkel
62′
🔁 A. El Messaoudi
↦ N. Dicko
67′
🟨 Alexandru Maxim
67′
🟨 Doğan Erdoğan
2–0 M. Kamara ⚽
N. Traoré
73′
B. Cevahir 🔁
↦ S. Adekugbe
76′
81′
🔁 H. Mendyl
↦ H. Pehlivan
82′
🔁 K. Özer
↦ João Figueiredo
82′
⚽ Á. Sagal 2–1
A. Maxim
M. Mert 🔁
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
86′
D. Saint-Louis 🔁
↦ A. El Kaabi
86′
89′
🔁 T. Børven
↦ D. Erdoğan
96′
🟨 Kenan Özer
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 M. Mohamedi G
12 K. Çörekçi D
23 S. Adekugbe D
53 B. Öksüz D
22 F. Kurucuk D
7 Rúben Ribeiro M
10 E. Çolak M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
17 N. Traoré M
92 M. Diouf F
25 A. El Kaabi M
Bench (10)
20 M. Kamara
61 B. Cevahir
19 M. Mert
95 D. Saint-Louis
99 B. Yıldırım
77 S. Baş
6 S. Falette
2 B. Çamoglu
31 A. Yiğiter
87 E. Fansa

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Gaziantep

4-2-3-1
1 G. Güvenç G
45 S. Caulker D
6 A. Toșca D
70 S. Kitsiou D
11 H. Pehlivan D
44 A. Maxim M
52 A. Merkel M
21 D. Erdoğan M
10 M. Demir F
94 N. Dicko M
25 João Figueiredo M
Bench (10)
28 Á. Sagal
18 A. El Messaoudi
27 H. Mendyl
7 K. Özer
22 T. Børven
15 E. Ersoy
71 M. Bozan
3 P. Djilobodji
5 F. Soyalp
17 O. Ceylan

Coach: E. Bulut

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,78
U
3,73
B
4,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,03
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Z Küçük · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.