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Süper Lig
Referee: A Şansalan
Ad. Demirspor
S U T S S
1–1
Full-time
Besiktas
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,5
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 44%
46%
42%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
46%
58%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
17 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 4
4 Offside 8
17 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 3. · Besiktas 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 25 18 6 1 +26 60
2 Konyaspor 24 14 6 4 +18 48
3 Ad. Demirspor 24 11 7 6 +12 40
4 Buyuksehyr 24 12 4 8 +11 40
5 Alanyaspor 25 11 7 7 +8 40
6 Fenerbahce 25 11 7 7 +8 40
7 Besiktas 24 10 7 7 +4 37
8 Hatayspor 24 11 3 10 -3 36
9 Gaziantep 24 10 5 9 +1 35
10 Kayserispor 25 9 8 8 +0 35
11 Sivasspor 25 8 10 7 +3 34
12 Karagumruk 25 9 6 10 -9 33
13 Galatasaray 25 7 8 10 -5 29
14 Kasimpasa 25 7 7 11 -2 28
15 Antalyaspor 25 7 7 11 -8 28
16 Goztep 24 7 6 11 -5 27
17 Giresunspor 25 7 5 13 -5 26
18 Rizespor 25 6 5 14 -20 23
19 Altay 25 6 4 15 -12 22
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 24 4 4 16 -22 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ad. Demirspor Besiktas
Younès Belhanda 🟨
-5′
31′
Alex Teixeira 0–1
K. Kalafat
41′
🟨 Welinton
Mario Balotelli ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
43′
Matías Vargas 🟨
44′
44′
🟨 Michy Batshuayi
Half-time 0–1
Mario Balotelli 🟨
46′
62′
🔁 E. İlkhan
↦ Alex Teixeira
62′
🔁 U. Meraş
↦ R. Yılmaz
D. Đoković 🔁
↦ B. Stambouli
66′
Y. Belhanda 🔁
↦ Birkir Bjarnason
66′
66′
🔁 M. Topal
↦ K. Kalafat
A. Uludağ 🔁
↦ K. Kanak
77′
B. Assombalonga 🔁
↦ M. Vargas
83′
92′
🔁 G. Yalçın
↦ R. Ghezzal
1–1 S. Akaydin
T. Sanuç
92′
Samet Akaydın ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
96′
Samet Akaydın 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

4-4-2
49 A. Murić G
6 K. Kanak D
22 J. Svensson D
5 S. Akaydin D
2 T. Sanuç D
67 Birkir Bjarnason F
88 G. İnler M
90 B. Stambouli M
77 M. Vargas M
9 M. Balotelli F
23 Y. Akgün M
Bench (10)
80 D. Đoković
10 Y. Belhanda
25 A. Uludağ
7 B. Assombalonga
11 D. Akintola
95 J. Rassoul
4 S. Güler
8 S. Kurt
35 F. Kaplan
50 E. Öztümer

Coach: V. Montella

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
30 E. Destanoğlu G
24 D. Vida D
23 Welinton D
37 K. Kalafat D
3 R. Yılmaz D
13 A. Hutchinson M
90 Alex Teixeira M
20 N. Uysal M
18 R. Ghezzal M
9 M. Batshuayi F
17 C. Larin M
Bench (10)
65 E. İlkhan
77 U. Meraş
14 M. Topal
50 G. Yalçın
4 Javi Montero
61 E. Bilgin
28 K. Karaman
46 S. Saatçı
12 C. Bozdoğan
11 G. Töre

Coach: Ö. Karaveli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,43
U ✓
3,41
B
2,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Şansalan · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.