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Süper Lig

Referee: S Arslanboğa

Ad. Demirspor

S U S U T

5–0

Full-time

Karagumruk

U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — Süper Lig · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 39%

41%

36%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

41%

45%

Both score Ø 55%

55%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

17 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 8. · Karagumruk 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	22	15	6	1	+23	51
2	Konyaspor	21	12	6	3	+17	42
3	Fenerbahce	22	10	6	6	+8	36
4	Besiktas	23	10	6	7	+4	36
5	Alanyaspor	22	10	5	7	+6	35
6	Hatayspor	22	11	2	9	-2	35
7	Buyuksehyr	21	10	4	7	+9	34
8	Ad. Demirspor	22	9	7	6	+5	34
9	Kayserispor	22	8	7	7	+1	31
10	Gaziantep	21	9	4	8	-1	31
11	Sivasspor	22	7	9	6	+6	30
12	Karagumruk	22	8	6	8	-2	30
13	Galatasaray	22	7	6	9	-4	27
14	Giresunspor	22	7	5	10	-1	26
15	Kasimpasa	22	6	6	10	-3	24
16	Goztep	22	6	6	10	-4	24
17	Antalyaspor	22	6	5	11	-11	23
18	Rizespor	22	6	3	13	-18	21
19	Altay	22	5	3	14	-13	18
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	22	4	4	14	-20	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Konyaspor	12	8	3	1	+11	27
2	Gaziantep	10	8	2	0	+13	26
3	Trabzonspor	11	7	4	0	+12	25
4	Besiktas	11	8	1	2	+8	25
5	Kayserispor	11	7	3	1	+12	24
6	Buyuksehyr	10	7	1	2	+9	22
7	Fenerbahce	11	6	3	2	+9	21
8	Rizespor	12	6	2	4	+3	20
9	Hatayspor	10	6	1	3	+6	19
10	Alanyaspor	11	5	3	3	+8	18
11	Ad. Demirspor	10	5	3	2	+7	18
12	Antalyaspor	11	5	3	3	+4	18
13	Galatasaray	11	5	2	4	+2	17
14	Sivasspor	11	3	7	1	+8	16
15	Karagumruk	11	4	4	3	+3	16
16	Kasimpasa	11	4	3	4	+2	15
17	Giresunspor	11	4	2	5	+0	14
18	Goztep	12	4	2	6	-1	14
19	Altay	10	3	1	6	-4	10
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	12	2	3	7	-12	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	11	8	2	1	+11	26
2	Alanyaspor	11	5	2	4	-2	17
3	Ad. Demirspor	12	4	4	4	-2	16
4	Hatayspor	12	5	1	6	-8	16
5	Konyaspor	9	4	3	2	+6	15
6	Fenerbahce	11	4	3	4	-1	15
7	Sivasspor	11	4	2	5	-2	14
8	Karagumruk	11	4	2	5	-5	14
9	Buyuksehyr	11	3	3	5	+0	12
10	Giresunspor	11	3	3	5	-1	12
11	Besiktas	12	2	5	5	-4	11
12	Goztep	10	2	4	4	-3	10
13	Galatasaray	11	2	4	5	-6	10
14	Kasimpasa	11	2	3	6	-5	9
15	Altay	12	2	2	8	-9	8
16	Yeni Malatyaspor	10	2	1	7	-8	7
17	Kayserispor	11	1	4	6	-11	7
18	Gaziantep	11	1	2	8	-14	5
19	Antalyaspor	11	1	2	8	-15	5
20	Rizespor	10	0	1	9	-21	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.