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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Livingston
S S S S T
2–1
Full-time
St Mirren
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 28%
36%
20%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
56%
40%
Both score Ø 44%
48%
40%
Average goals
2,8
2,1
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 5
13 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 5. · St Mirren 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 25 22 1 2 +57 67
2 Rangers 24 19 3 2 +45 60
3 Aberdeen 26 11 8 7 +4 41
4 Motherwell 25 13 2 10 +2 41
5 Livingston 25 9 7 9 +3 34
6 Hibernian 25 7 9 9 -7 30
7 Kilmarnock 25 8 5 12 -7 29
8 ST Johnstone 24 6 9 9 -20 27
9 Ross County 25 6 7 12 -25 25
10 St Mirren 25 5 7 13 -13 22
11 Hamilton 26 4 7 15 -22 19
12 Hearts 25 3 9 13 -17 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston St Mirren
24′
🟨 Junior Morias
1–0 S. Lawless
34′
Half-time 1–0
K. Jacobs 🔁
↦ M. Bartley
46′
2–0 L. Dykes
K. Jacobs
46′
50′
J. Obika 2–1
C. MacPherson
Dolly Menga 🔁
↦ S. Robinson
73′
74′
🔁 K. McAllister
↦ J. Morias
79′
🔁 J. McGrath
↦ A. Jakubiak
S. Lawson 🔁
↦ J. McMillan
80′
85′
🔁 D. Mullen
↦ Í. Durmuş
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Livingston

4-2-3-1
1 R. McCrorie G
29 A. Taylor-Sinclair D
27 J. Guthrie D
21 J. McMillan D
3 C. Brown D
17 S. Robinson M
6 M. Bartley M
10 C. Sibbald M
11 S. Lawless M
8 S. Pittman M
9 L. Dykes F
Bench (7)
7 K. Jacobs
24 Dolly Menga
33 S. Lawson
16 R. Crawford
5 R. Lamie
20 A. Souda
31 R. Schofield

Coach: G. Holt

St Mirren

4-4-2
1 V. Hladký G
2 L. Hodson D
3 C. Waters D
5 C. McCarthy D
22 A. Famewo D
16 S. Foley M
11 Í. Durmuş M
24 C. MacPherson M
9 J. Obika F
19 J. Morias F
28 A. Jakubiak F
Bench (7)
14 K. McAllister
17 J. McGrath
18 D. Mullen
10 T. Andreu
29 R. Wallace
26 D. Lyness
20 C. Cooke

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,46
B
4,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,19
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.