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Premiership
Referee: B Madden
Hamilton
T S T S T
2–4
Full-time
Livingston
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamilton Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,5
This season — Premiership · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 25%
18%
32%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
59%
59%
Both score Ø 53%
55%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

10 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 3
11 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamilton 11. · Livingston 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 21 18 1 2 +44 55
2 Rangers 20 17 2 1 +43 53
3 Motherwell 22 13 1 8 +7 40
4 Aberdeen 22 10 6 6 +3 36
5 Livingston 22 7 7 8 +2 28
6 Hibernian 22 7 7 8 -6 28
7 Kilmarnock 22 6 5 11 -9 23
8 Ross County 21 5 7 9 -20 22
9 ST Johnstone 20 4 8 8 -19 20
10 St Mirren 22 5 4 13 -13 19
11 Hamilton 22 4 6 12 -15 18
12 Hearts 22 2 8 12 -17 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Nov -19 Livingston – Hamilton 0–0 28. Sep -19 Hamilton – Livingston 2–1

Match report

Hamilton Livingston
1–0 S. Want ⚽
M. Ogboe
14′
15′
⚽ C. Sibbald 1–1
32′
⚽ A. Taylor-Sinclair 1–2
J. McMillan
Half-time 1–2
B. Alston 🔁
↦ L. Smith
57′
2–2 S. Woods ⚽
57′
62′
⚽ S. Lawless 2–3
65′
⚽ S. Pittman 2–4
L. Dykes
A. Winter 🔁
↦ M. Ogboe
66′
70′
🔁 S. Robinson
↦ A. Souda
71′
🟨 Aymen Souda
Markus Fjortoft 🟨
77′
A. Dales 🔁
↦ W. Collar
77′
82′
🔁 R. Crawford
↦ S. Lawless
91′
🔁 K. Jacobs
↦ L. Dykes
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Hamilton

4-2-3-1
1 O. Williams G
13 A. Gogić
3 S. McMann D
5 M. Fjørtoft D
21 S. Want D
12 S. Woods D
25 S. Martin M
28 L. Smith M
7 W. Collar M
99 M. Ogboe F
11 M. Miller F
Bench (7)
10 B. Alston
19 A. Winter
26 A. Dales
33 R. Mimnaugh
6 J. Hunt
8 S. Davies
31 L. Southwood

Coach: B. Rice

Livingston

4-2-3-1
1 R. McCrorie G
29 A. Taylor-Sinclair D
27 J. Guthrie D
21 J. McMillan D
3 C. Brown D
6 M. Bartley M
10 C. Sibbald M
11 S. Lawless M
8 S. Pittman M
20 A. Souda F
9 L. Dykes F
Bench (7)
17 S. Robinson
16 R. Crawford
7 K. Jacobs
4 A. Lithgow
19 C. Erskine
40 G. Maley
5 R. Lamie

Coach: G. Holt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,82
🔒
U
3,32
🔒
B ✓
1,98
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,15
🔒
U2,5
1,69
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Madden · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.