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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
ST Johnstone
T S T U S
2–1
Full-time
Motherwell
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 24/25 matches
Win Ø 39%
25%
52%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
46%
60%
Both score Ø 41%
42%
40%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

11 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
4 Corners 5
10 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match ST Johnstone 8. · Motherwell 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 25 22 1 2 +57 67
2 Rangers 24 19 3 2 +45 60
3 Aberdeen 26 11 8 7 +4 41
4 Motherwell 25 13 2 10 +2 41
5 Livingston 25 9 7 9 +3 34
6 Hibernian 25 7 9 9 -7 30
7 Kilmarnock 25 8 5 12 -7 29
8 ST Johnstone 24 6 9 9 -20 27
9 Ross County 25 6 7 12 -25 25
10 St Mirren 25 5 7 13 -13 22
11 Hamilton 26 4 7 15 -22 19
12 Hearts 25 3 9 13 -17 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone Motherwell
1–0 C. Hendry ⚽
27′
32′
⚽ C. Long 1–1
Half-time 1–1
M. Butcher 🔁
↦ L. Craig
51′
64′
🔁 T. Watt
↦ C. Long
69′
🟨 Liam Donnelly
69′
🔁 C. Manzinga
↦ J. Hylton
C. Kane 🔁
↦ C. Hendry
75′
77′
🟨 Christy Manzinga
82′
🟨 Christy Manzinga
82′
🟥 Christy Manzinga
84′
🔁 L. Polworth
↦ R. Aarons
S. May 🔁
↦ J. Holt
85′
90′
🟨 Jake Carroll
2–1 C. Kane ⚽
J. Kerr
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

4-5-1
1 Z. Clark G
24 C. Booth D
4 J. Mccart D
15 J. Kerr M
21 A. Ralston D
26 L. Craig M
10 D. Wotherspoon M
19 J. Holt M
7 D. Wright F
18 A. McCann M
22 C. Hendry F
Bench (7)
16 M. Butcher
9 C. Kane
14 S. May
20 I. Jones
23 L. Gordon
12 E. Parish
3 S. Tanser

Coach: T. Wright

Motherwell

4-3-3
20 M. Gillespie G
5 P. Hartley D
31 D. Gallagher D
3 J. Carroll D
22 L. Donnelly D
4 L. Grimshaw M
52 M. O'Hara D
14 J. Hylton F
6 A. Campbell M
9 C. Long F
17 R. Aarons M
Bench (7)
8 T. Watt
12 C. Manzinga
19 L. Polworth
2 R. Tait
37 R. MacIver
1 T. Carson
24 B. Mugabi

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,42
U
3,18
B
2,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,26
U2,5
1,62
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

N Walsh · 172 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.