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Premier League

Referee: Lee Probert

Brighton

T T T S T

2–2

Full-time

Fulham

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Fulham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,0

This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

4,0

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%

15 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 1

2 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brighton 12. · Fulham 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Tottenham	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Chelsea	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Watford	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Man City	3	2	1	0	+7	7
6	Bournemouth	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Leicester	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Everton	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Arsenal	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Crystal Palace	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Fulham	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Brighton	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Man United	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Wolves	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Cardiff	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Southampton	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Newcastle	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Burnley	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Huddersfield	3	0	1	2	-8	1
20	West Ham	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Watford	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Bournemouth	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Man City	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Leicester	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Fulham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Arsenal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Man United	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Wolves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Huddersfield	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Newcastle	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Chelsea	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Man City	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Leicester	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Everton	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Burnley	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Cardiff	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Brighton	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-5	0
20	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.