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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Celtic
S S S S S
4–1
Full-time
ST Johnstone
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Premiership · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 68%
94%
41%
Points per game
2,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
76%
65%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
59%
Average goals
3,9
2,5
Scored
3,1
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

76% Possession 24%
20 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 4
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · ST Johnstone 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 17 16 0 1 +39 48
2 Rangers 18 13 3 2 +23 42
3 Aberdeen 17 8 1 8 +4 25
4 Hearts 16 7 3 6 +1 24
5 ST Johnstone 17 7 3 7 -1 24
6 Livingston 16 7 2 7 -6 23
7 St Mirren 15 6 3 6 -6 21
8 Hibernian 17 6 2 9 -6 20
9 Motherwell 17 5 3 9 -2 18
10 Kilmarnock 18 4 4 10 -17 16
11 Ross County 18 4 3 11 -15 15
12 Dundee United 16 3 3 10 -14 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celtic ST Johnstone
Aaron Mooy 🟨
13′
1–0 R. Hatate
A. Mooy
14′
16′
🟨 Daniel Phillips
2–0 K. Furuhashi
M. O'Riley
17′
Cameron Carter-Vickers 🟨
33′
3–0 K. Furuhashi
J. Forrest
40′
Half-time 4–0
4–0 R. Hatate
C. McGregor
52′
Reo Hatate ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
54′
62′
🔁 A. Mitchell
↦ M. Hallberg
62′
🔁 C. McLennan
↦ N. Clark
62′
🔁 C. MacPherson
↦ D. Phillips
Jota 🔁
↦ D. Maeda
63′
S. Hakšabanović 🔁
↦ M. ORiley
63′
L. Abada 🔁
↦ J. Forrest
63′
67′
D. Wright 4–1
68′
ℹ️ Drey Wright
VAR: Goal confirmed
G. Giakoumakis 🔁
↦ K. Furuhashi
68′
D. Turnbull 🔁
↦ A. Mooy
79′
79′
🔁 A. Crawford
↦ G. Carey
87′
🔁 T. Bair
↦ S. May
David Turnbull ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
95′
David Turnbull 🟥
96′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
41 R. Hatate D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
4 C. Starfelt D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
13 A. Mooy M
49 J. Forrest F
8 K. Furuhashi F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
17 Jota
9 S. Hakšabanović
11 L. Abada
7 G. Giakoumakis
14 D. Turnbull
25 A. Bernabei
50 B. Lawal
31 B. Siegrist
6 M. Jenz

Coach: A. Postecoglou

ST Johnstone

5-3-2
1 R. Matthews G
14 D. Wright D
13 R. McGowan D
6 L. Gordon D
4 A. Considine D
2 J. Brown D
22 M. Hallberg M
34 D. Phillips M
23 G. Carey M
37 N. Clark F
7 S. May F
Bench (9)
5 A. Mitchell
26 C. McLennan
18 C. MacPherson
21 A. Crawford
17 T. Bair
12 E. Parish
11 M. O'Halloran
10 D. Wotherspoon
29 J. Murphy

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,11
U
8,71
B
20,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,39
U2,5
2,89
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.