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Premiership
Referee: G Grainger
Ross County
T T S S T
1–2
Full-time
ST Johnstone
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
25%
38%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
44%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
3 Shots 21
1 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 10. · ST Johnstone 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 16 15 0 1 +38 45
2 Rangers 16 11 3 2 +21 36
3 Aberdeen 16 8 1 7 +5 25
4 Livingston 15 7 2 6 -5 23
5 Hearts 15 6 3 6 -1 21
6 ST Johnstone 16 6 3 7 -2 21
7 St Mirren 15 6 3 6 -6 21
8 Hibernian 17 6 2 9 -6 20
9 Motherwell 16 5 2 9 -2 17
10 Ross County 16 4 3 9 -13 15
11 Kilmarnock 16 4 3 9 -15 15
12 Dundee United 16 3 3 10 -14 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ross County ST Johnstone
Jordan Tillson 🟨
14′
1–0 J. White
Y. Dhanda
22′
Half-time 1–0
53′
🟨 Adam Montgomery
56′
🔁 A. Crawford
↦ D. Wotherspoon
Jack Baldwin 🟥
61′
B. Paton 🔁
↦ Y. Dhanda
62′
K. Watson 🔁
↦ K. Olaigbe
62′
71′
🔁 C. McLennan
↦ S. May
71′
🔁 T. Bair
↦ J. Brown
C. Randall 🔁
↦ V. Loturi
72′
W. Akio 🔁
↦ O. Edwards
72′
77′
A. Crawford 1–1
79′
A. Crawford 1–2
J. Hiwula-Mayifuila 🔁
↦ J. White
80′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ross County

4-2-3-1
1 R. Laidlaw G
12 C. Johnson D
5 J. Baldwin D
6 A. Iacovitti D
16 G. Harmon D
14 V. Loturi M
22 J. Tillson M
7 O. Edwards M
10 Y. Dhanda M
17 K. Olaigbe M
26 J. White F
Bench (9)
24 B. Paton
15 K. Watson
2 C. Randall
18 W. Akio
19 J. Hiwula-Mayifuila
11 J. Sims
30 D. Smith
31 J. Eastwood
9 D. Samuel

Coach: M. Mackay

ST Johnstone

3-1-4-2
12 E. Parish G
2 J. Brown D
6 L. Gordon D
4 A. Considine D
34 D. Phillips M
14 D. Wright M
23 G. Carey M
10 D. Wotherspoon M
19 A. Montgomery M
37 N. Clark F
7 S. May F
Bench (9)
21 A. Crawford
26 C. McLennan
17 T. Bair
27 M. Kucheryavyi
11 M. O'Halloran
18 C. MacPherson
29 J. Murphy
3 T. Gallacher
30 J. Wills

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,68
U
3,07
B ✓
2,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,38
U2,5
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Grainger · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.