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Super League
Referee: S Horisberger
Luzern
T S U T T
3–0
Full-time
Servette
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Super League · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
21%
33%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
71%
27%
Both score Ø 66%
79%
53%
Average goals
3,1
1,9
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
14 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Luzern 9. · Servette 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 17 11 5 1 +16 38
2 Basel 17 8 3 6 +2 27
3 Zurich 18 7 4 7 +3 25
4 Lugano 17 5 10 2 +2 25
5 St. Gallen 17 6 5 6 +0 23
6 Lausanne 16 5 5 6 +0 20
7 Servette 15 5 5 5 -1 20
8 Sion 18 4 7 7 -6 19
9 Luzern 14 3 4 7 -3 13
10 Vaduz 17 2 6 9 -13 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Nov -20 Servette – Luzern 1–3 8. Jul -20 Servette – Luzern 2–0 27. Jun -20 Luzern – Servette 2–2 9. Nov -19 Luzern – Servette 1–2 4. Aug -19 Servette – Luzern 1–0

Match report

Luzern Servette
Simon Grether 🟨
5′
L. Emini 🔁
↦ Lucas
27′
36′
🟨 Boubacar Fofana
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Schalk
↦ B. Fofana
1–0 D. Sorgić ⚽
L. Schaub
48′
52′
🔁 Y. Severin
↦ V. Sasso
54′
🟨 Boris Cespedes
2–0 M. Schulz ⚽
M. Frýdek
56′
Christian Schwegler 🟨
57′
60′
🔁 M. Diallo
↦ A. Sauthier
60′
🔁 K. Koné
↦ G. Kyei
I. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ L. Schaub
70′
V. Tasar 🔁
↦ S. Grether
70′
Marvin Schulz ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
71′
71′
🟨 Moussa Diallo
3–0 M. Schulz ⚽
72′
75′
🔁 K. Imeri
↦ M. Stevanović
78′
🟨 Kastriot Imeri
78′
🟨 Kastriot Imeri
78′
🟥 Kastriot Imeri
M. Bürki 🔁
↦ P. Schürpf
87′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Luzern

4-3-1-2
32 M. Müller G
27 C. Schwegler D
17 S. Grether M
5 Lucas D
15 M. Schulz M
4 S. Knežević D
11 P. Schürpf F
10 L. Schaub M
13 M. Frýdek D
19 F. Ugrinic M
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (7)
31 L. Emini
7 I. Ndiaye
16 V. Tasar
6 M. Bürki
46 M. Burch
34 S. Sidler
1 D. Zibung

Coach: F. Celestini

Servette

4-3-3
32 J. Frick G
3 G. Clichy D
2 A. Sauthier D
23 V. Sasso D
4 S. Rouiller D
9 M. Stevanović F
15 T. Valls M
5 B. Cespedes M
8 T. Cognat M
25 G. Kyei F
35 B. Fofana F
Bench (7)
10 A. Schalk
19 Y. Severin
7 M. Diallo
18 K. Koné
17 K. Imeri
27 A. Antunes
1 J. Kiassumbua

Coach: A. Geiger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Horisberger · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.