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Super League
Referee: L Piccolo
Luzern
S S U S T
2–2
Full-time
Servette
T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — Super League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
44%
52%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 6. · Servette 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gallen 25 15 3 7 +17 48
2 Young Boys 25 14 6 5 +15 48
3 Basel 25 13 4 8 +24 43
4 Servette 25 10 9 6 +15 39
5 Zurich 25 10 5 10 -14 35
6 Luzern 25 10 4 11 -6 34
7 Lugano 25 7 9 9 -1 30
8 Sion 25 6 6 13 -14 24
9 Xamax 25 4 10 11 -13 22
10 Thun 25 6 4 15 -23 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luzern Servette
Lucas 🟨
5′
5′
B. Cespedes 0–1
T. Cognat
10′
🟨 B. Cespedes
29′
🟨 S. Rouiller
L. Emini 🟨
34′
44′
T. Cognat 0–2
G. Kyei
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 N. Vouilloz
↦ D. Iapichino
I. Ndiaye 🟨
49′
1–2 F. Margiotta
60′
P. Schürpf 🔁
↦ D. Males
64′
2–2 F. Margiotta
L. Emini
65′
66′
🔁 A. Schalk
↦ G. Kyei
66′
🔁 K. Imeri
↦ T. Cognat
I. Voca 🔁
↦ L. Emini
70′
B. Eleke 🔁
↦ I. Ndiaye
80′
90′
🔁 R. Azevedo
↦ K. Kone
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Luzern

4-3-3
32 M. Müller G
17 S. Grether D
5 Lucão D
15 M. Schulz M
46 M. Burch D
25 D. Mistrafovic D
31 L. Emini M
77 Ryder Matos F
9 F. Margiotta F
7 I. Ndiaye F
29 D. Males M
Bench (7)
11 P. Schürpf
42 I. Voca
10 B. Eleke
30 A. Jasari
23 S. Enzler
34 S. Sidler
73 A. Binous

Coach: F. Celestini

Servette

4-4-2
32 J. Frick G
23 V. Sasso D
21 D. Iapichino D
3 C. Routis D
4 S. Rouiller D
9 M. Stevanović M
5 B. Cespedes M
29 G. Ondoua M
8 T. Cognat M
18 K. Kone F
25 G. Kyei F
Bench (7)
37 N. Vouilloz
11 A. Schalk
17 K. Imeri
22 R. Azevedo
1 J. Kiassumbua
14 A. Maccoppi
43 E. Samba

Coach: A. Geiger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Piccolo · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.