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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Luzern
T T T U T
0–3
Full-time
Basel
S U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,2
This season — Super League · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 25%
6%
44%
Points per game
0,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 75%
78%
72%
Average goals
3,1
3,2
Scored
1,1
2,1
Conceded
2,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
16 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 10. · Basel 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 19 13 4 2 +18 43
2 Young Boys 19 10 5 4 +22 35
3 Basel 18 8 9 1 +19 33
4 Lugano 19 9 3 7 +0 30
5 Servette 19 7 4 8 -2 25
6 Grasshoppers 18 5 8 5 +6 23
7 Sion 18 6 3 9 -11 21
8 St. Gallen 19 5 4 10 -13 19
9 Lausanne 19 2 6 11 -23 12
10 Luzern 18 1 8 9 -16 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Nov -21 Luzern – Basel 1–3 3. Oct -21 Basel – Luzern 1–1 10. Apr -21 Luzern – Basel 3–4 13. Mar -21 Basel – Luzern 4–1 23. Dec -20 Luzern – Basel 1–2

Match report

Luzern Basel
Nikola Čumić 🟨
21′
31′
🟨 Matías Palacios
Half-time 0–0
47′
ℹ️ Dan Ndoye
VAR: Penalty awarded
49′
⚽ F. Frei 0–1
52′
🟨 Noah Katterbach
Marius Müller 🟨
60′
65′
🔁 P. Kasami
↦ T. Xhaka
66′
🟨 Andy Pelmard
P. Schürpf 🔁
↦ C. Gentner
66′
I. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ N. Čumić
72′
Marvin Schulz 🟨
74′
74′
🔁 Sergio López
↦ M. Lang
76′
🟨 Wouter Burger
Marvin Schulz 🟨
78′
Ardon Jashari 🟨
78′
Marvin Schulz 🟥
78′
85′
⚽ D. Males 0–2
D. Sorgić 🔁
↦ Asumah Abubakar
86′
93′
🔁 Tomás Tavares
↦ D. Ndoye
95′
🟨 Fabian Frei
97′
⚽ F. Frei 0–3
M. Palacios
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Luzern

4-3-1-2
32 M. Müller G
17 S. Grether D
13 M. Frýdek D
46 M. Burch D
71 L. Jaquez D
4 C. Gentner M
15 M. Schulz M
19 F. Ugrinic M
30 A. Jasari M
20 N. Čumić F
21 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (9)
11 P. Schürpf
7 I. Ndiaye
9 D. Sorgić
90 V. Vasić
6 J. Wehrmann
31 L. Emini
34 S. Sidler
14 S. Izmirlioglu
23 S. Alabi

Coach: M. Frick

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 H. Lindner G
5 M. Lang D
21 A. Pelmard D
3 N. Katterbach D
14 V. Stocker M
20 F. Frei M
34 T. Xhaka M
23 W. Burger D
35 M. Palacios M
19 D. Males F
27 D. Ndoye M
Bench (9)
7 P. Kasami
22 Sergio López
30 Tomás Tavares
96 Joelson Fernandes
40 L. Chipperfield
76 A. Hajdari
46 F. Gebhardt
28 R. Petretta
6 N. Djiga

Coach: P. Rahmen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.