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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Augsburg
T U T T T
1–2
Full-time
Wolfsburg
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 32%
28%
36%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
64%
44%
Both score Ø 60%
64%
56%
Average goals
3,5
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
2,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
8 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 1
5 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 14. · Wolfsburg 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 25 17 4 4 +47 55
2 Dortmund 25 15 6 4 +35 51
3 RB Leipzig 25 14 8 3 +36 50
4 M'gladbach 25 15 4 6 +19 49
5 Leverkusen 25 14 5 6 +15 47
6 Schalke 04 25 9 10 6 -3 37
7 Wolfsburg 25 9 9 7 +4 36
8 Freiburg 25 10 6 9 -1 36
9 Hoffenheim 25 10 5 10 -8 35
10 FC Koln 25 10 2 13 -6 32
11 Union Berlin 25 9 3 13 -9 30
12 Ein Frankfurt 24 8 4 12 -3 28
13 Hertha 25 7 7 11 -16 28
14 Augsburg 25 7 6 12 -16 27
15 Mainz 25 8 2 15 -19 26
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 25 5 7 13 -23 22
17 Werder Bremen 24 4 6 14 -28 18
18 Paderborn 25 4 4 17 -24 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Wolfsburg
M. Suchy 🟨
39′
43′
⚽ R. Steffen 0–1
P. Otavio
Half-time 0–1
53′
🟨 P. Otavio
1–1 T. Jedvaj ⚽
54′
61′
🔁 J. Brekalo
↦ D. Ginczek
M. Suchy 🔁
↦ F. Uduokhai
65′
73′
🟨 M. Arnold
74′
🔁 Joao Victor
↦ F. Klaus
R. Vargas 🔁
↦ Iago
79′
M. Richter 🔁
↦ N. Sarenren-Bazee
87′
E. Lowen 🔁
↦ S. Cordova
87′
87′
🔁 P. Otavio
↦ J. Roussillon
91′
⚽ D. Ginczek 1–2
K. Mbabu
93′
🟨 J. Roussillon
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
1 Andreas Luthe G
32 Raphael Framberger D
18 Tin Jedvaj D
5 Marek Suchý D
31 Philipp Max D
8 Rani Khedira M
10 Daniel Baier M
23 Marco Richter M
29 Eduard Löwen M
16 Ruben Vargas M
7 Florian Niederlechner F
Bench (9)
21 Tomáš Koubek
22 Iago
2 Stephan Lichtsteiner
36 Reece Oxford
19 Felix Uduokhai
25 Carlos Gruezo
14 Jan Morávek
17 Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee
9 Sergio Córdova

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 Koen Casteels G
19 Kevin Mbabu D
22 Marin Pongračić D
25 John Brooks D
6 Paulo Otávio D
24 Xaver Schlager M
27 Maximilian Arnold M
40 João Victor M
14 Admir Mehmedi M
7 Josip Brekalo M
8 Renato Steffen F
Bench (9)
12 Pavao Pervan
15 Jérôme Roussillon
32 Marcel Tisserand
31 Robin Knoche
11 Felix Klaus
44 Iba May
33 Daniel Ginczek
43 Julian Justvan
29 Omar Marmoush

Coach: O. Glasner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,41
U
3,44
B ✓
2,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,90
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.