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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Zwayer
Wolfsburg
T U S S T
8–1
Full-time
Augsburg
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 35%
45%
24%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
64%
73%
Both score Ø 60%
52%
67%
Average goals
3,1
3,4
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

55% Possession 45%
18 Shots 12
10 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 7. · Augsburg 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 33 23 6 4 +52 75
2 Dortmund 33 22 7 4 +35 73
3 RB Leipzig 33 19 9 5 +35 66
4 M'gladbach 33 16 7 10 +15 55
5 Leverkusen 33 17 4 12 +13 55
6 Ein Frankfurt 33 15 9 9 +16 54
7 Wolfsburg 33 15 7 11 +5 52
8 Hoffenheim 33 13 12 8 +20 51
9 Werder Bremen 33 13 11 9 +8 50
10 Hertha 33 11 10 12 -4 43
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 33 12 5 16 -17 41
12 Mainz 33 11 7 15 -13 40
13 Freiburg 33 7 12 14 -19 33
14 Augsburg 33 8 8 17 -13 32
15 Schalke 04 33 8 8 17 -18 32
16 Stuttgart 33 7 6 20 -38 27
17 Hannover 33 5 6 22 -39 21
18 Nurnberg 33 3 10 20 -38 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Augsburg
1–0 W. Weghorst
21′
29′
🟨 André Hahn
2–0 W. Weghorst
A. Mehmedi
37′
3–0 R. Knoche
M. Arnold
41′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 J. Morávek
↦ C. Janker
46′
🔁 K. Danso
↦ J. Gouweleeuw
4–0 W. Weghorst
E. Rexhbecaj
55′
Y. Mallı 🔁
↦ A. Mehmedi
56′
5–0 D. Ginczek
57′
60′
🔁 J. Schieber
↦ Ji Dong-Won
6–0 E. Rexhbecaj
J. Roussillon
60′
64′
🟨 Simon Asta
J. Brekalo 🔁
↦ J. Roussillon
69′
F. Klaus 🔁
↦ E. Rexhbecaj
81′
81′
J. Schieber 6–1
M. Richter
7–1 J. Brekalo
W. Weghorst
85′
7–2 K. Danso
own goal
89′
Full-time 7–2

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-3-3
12 P. Pervan G
31 R. Knoche D
15 J. Roussillon D
32 M. Tisserand D
13 Y. Gerhardt M
2 William D
14 A. Mehmedi F
27 M. Arnold M
37 E. Rexhbecaj M
33 D. Ginczek F
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (7)
10 Y. Mallı
7 J. Brekalo
11 F. Klaus
36 P. Menzel
28 D. Franke
24 S. Jung
17 F. Uduokhai

Coach: B. Labbadia

Augsburg

4-1-4-1
40 G. Kobel G
16 C. Janker M
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
5 R. Oxford D
26 S. Asta D
10 D. Baier M
28 A. Hahn M
17 J. Schmid D
11 M. Gregoritsch M
22 Ji Dong-Won F
23 M. Richter M
Bench (7)
14 J. Morávek
38 K. Danso
20 J. Schieber
29 R. Roesch
34 G. Teigl
1 A. Luthe
30 S. Russo

Coach: M. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Felix Zwayer · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.