The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Koninklijke HFC
Dovo
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Zwaluwen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 3 |
| 2 |
ACV
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 |
Rijnvogels
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 4 |
UDI '19
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 5 |
Frisia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 6 |
Koninklijke HFC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 7 |
Roosendaal
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 8 |
AFC '34
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 9 |
Eemdijk
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 10 |
TEC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 11 |
JOS Watergraafsmeer
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 12 |
Achilles Veen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 13 |
Kloetinge
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 14 |
Sportlust '46
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 15 |
EVV
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 16 |
Sparta Nijkerk
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 17 |
Vvsb
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Gemert
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 19 |
AFC Amsterdam
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 20 |
Purmersteijn
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 21 |
TOGB
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 22 |
Groene Ster
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 23 |
SC Genemuiden
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 24 |
DVS 33 Ermelo
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 25 |
Dovo
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 26 |
Excelsior '31
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 27 |
Noordwijk
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 28 |
Staphorst
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 29 |
UNA
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 30 |
Hoogeveen
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 31 |
SVZW
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 32 |
Hollandia
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 33 |
Halsteren
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 34 |
Mierlo-Hout
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 35 |
Groesbeek
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 36 |
ADO '20
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 37 |
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 38 |
Zwaluw VFC
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 39 |
Katwijk
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 40 |
Heerjansdam
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 41 |
FC Lisse
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 42 |
ATC 65
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 43 |
Surhusterfean
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 44 |
Harkemase Boys
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 45 |
GOES
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 46 |
Almkerk
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 47 |
Dongen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 48 |
Poortugaal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 49 |
NSVV
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 50 |
Blauw Geel
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 51 |
Hercules
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 52 |
Venray
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 53 |
Ajax Amateurs
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 54 |
FC 's-Gravenzande
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 55 |
Be Quick 1887
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 56 |
VV Scherpenzeel
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 57 |
Elinkwijk
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 58 |
HZVV
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 59 |
LONGA '30
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 60 |
GSV 28
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 61 |
Westlandia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 62 |
Bennekom
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 63 |
Rkvv Spartaan
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 64 |
Lierop
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
LONGA '30
Koninklijke HFC
Hsc 21
Koninklijke HFC
Koninklijke HFC
ARC
PSV Eindhoven
Koninklijke HFC
Koninklijke HFC
FC Emmen
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.