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KNVB Beker
Referee: E Blank
PSV Eindhoven
S S S T T
8–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Koninklijke HFC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 64%
67%
60%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
67%
60%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
4,3
3,0
Scored
3,2
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sparta Nijkerk 3 3 0 0 +12 9
2 Noordwijk 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 ASWH 3 3 0 0 +5 9
4 Eemdijk 3 3 0 0 +4 9
5 Barendrecht 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 AFC Amsterdam 2 2 0 0 +5 6
7 Ijsselmeervogels 3 2 0 1 +3 6
8 Winterswijk 3 2 0 1 +3 6
9 Koninklijke HFC 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 Rijnsburgse Boys 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Blauw Geel 3 2 0 1 +2 6
12 Capelle 3 2 0 1 +1 6
13 OJC Rosmalen 3 2 0 1 +1 6
14 SC Genemuiden 3 2 0 1 +1 6
15 Quick '20 3 2 0 1 +0 6
16 Hercules 3 2 0 1 -2 6
17 Rijnvogels 3 2 0 1 -2 6
18 Dovo 3 2 0 1 -2 6
19 FC Lisse 3 1 1 1 +0 4
20 Kolping Boys 3 1 1 1 -3 4
21 FC Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +7 3
22 Sparta Rotterdam 1 1 0 0 +5 3
23 Volendam 1 1 0 0 +4 3
24 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
25 Cambuur 1 1 0 0 +3 3
26 De Graafschap 1 1 0 0 +3 3
27 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +3 3
28 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +3 3
29 Telstar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
30 Quick Boys 1 1 0 0 +3 3
31 Katwijk 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Gemert 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 Waalwijk 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Juliana '31 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Nijmegen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Willem II 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Excelsior 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 MVV 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 ADO '20 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 RKAVV 2 1 0 1 +1 3
43 Heracles 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Excelsior Maassluis 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 HV & CV Quick 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Poortugaal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Vvsb 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Ajax Amateurs 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 UDI '19 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Achilles Veen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Hoek 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 TEC 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 HBC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Smitshoek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Elinkwijk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 EVV 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Olde Veste '54 2 0 1 1 -1 1
58 Zwaluw VFC 2 0 1 1 -3 1
59 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 VVV Venlo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Den Bosch 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 SDC Putten 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Dordrecht 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 DEM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Kloetinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 HHC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Meerssen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Hollandia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Spakenburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 URK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 GOES 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 De Bilt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Geldrop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Vitesse 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 SVBO 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Roda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 DAW Schaijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Forum Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 FC 's-Gravenzande 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 ACV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
93 Den Haag 1 0 0 1 -3 0
94 FC OSS 1 0 0 1 -3 0
95 De Treffers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
96 UNA 1 0 0 1 -3 0
97 Heerjansdam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
98 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -3 0
99 Almere City 1 0 0 1 -3 0
100 GVVV Veenendaal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
101 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
102 Excelsior '31 1 0 0 1 -4 0
103 ROHDA Raalte 1 0 0 1 -4 0
104 Laar 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Koninklijke HFC
1–0 H. Lozano
I. Perišić
12′
1–1 M. Michaelis
own goal
18′
2–1 R. Pepi
31′
3–1 G. Til
J. Veerman
38′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 J. Muller
↦ M. Ploem
46′
🔁 M. Frimpong
↦ R. Burger
A. Obispo 🟨
47′
59′
🔁 L. de Wilde
↦ M. Lomis
T. Land 🔁
↦ J. Schouten
63′
3–2 R. Heeremans
own goal
67′
71′
🔁 R. Mwenda
↦ J. Noordmans
N. Lang 🔁
↦ H. Lozano
76′
Mauro Júnior 🔁
↦ J. Veerman
76′
I. Saibari 🔁
↦ R. Ledezma
76′
82′
🔁 C. Dijkstra
↦ K. Tros
4–2 R. Pepi
83′
S. Gomez Van Hoogen 🔁
↦ A. Obispo
86′
5–2 I. Perišić
T. Land
89′
6–2 I. Perišić
91′
Full-time 6–2

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

16 J. Drommel
4 A. Obispo
37 R. Ledezma
35 F. Oppegård
32 M. Dams
22 J. Schouten
20 G. Til
23 J. Veerman
5 I. Perišić
27 H. Lozano
14 R. Pepi
Bench (11)
28 T. Land
10 N. Lang
17 Mauro Júnior
34 I. Saibari
62 S. Gomez Van Hoogen
18 O. Boscagli
24 N. Schiks
7 M. Tillman
9 L. de Jong
6 R. Flamingo
1 W. Benítez

Coach: P. Bosz

Koninklijke HFC

1 M. Michaelis
18 W. Boer
3 R. Heeremans
14 J. Noordmans
4 G. Vlak
23 J. Hulleman
6 R. Burger
5 K. Tros
2 M. Ploem
29 X. van den Berg
11 M. Lomis
Bench (12)
16 J. Muller
12 M. Frimpong
17 L. de Wilde
47 R. Mwenda
10 C. Dijkstra
15 D. Jap Tjong
25 J. van der Weijden
21 J. van der Sar
24 L. Theloosen
19 F. Lewis
9 S. Conneh
7 R. El Idrissi

Coach: G. Tamerus

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Blank · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.