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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro
Ath Bilbao
S U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Barcelona
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

27% Possession 73%
11 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Feb -19 Ath Bilbao – Barcelona 0–0 29. Sep -18 Barcelona – Ath Bilbao 1–1 18. Mar -18 Barcelona – Ath Bilbao 2–0 28. Oct -17 Ath Bilbao – Barcelona 0–2 4. Feb -17 Barcelona – Ath Bilbao 3–0

Match report

Ath Bilbao Barcelona
37′
🔁 Rafinha
↦ L. Suárez
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 I. Rakitić
↦ Aleñà
60′
🟨 Gerard Piqué
Unai Núñez 🟨
65′
Oihan Sancet 🔁
↦ De Marcos
66′
76′
🔁 Carles Pérez
↦ Sergi Roberto
Beñat 🔁
↦ Unai López
81′
Aduriz 🔁
↦ Williams
88′
1–0 Aduriz ⚽
Capa
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simon G
21 Ander Capa D
3 Unai Núñez D
5 Yeray Álvarez D
17 Yuri Berchiche D
8 Unai López M
14 Dani García M
18 Óscar de Marcos M
22 Raúl García M
10 Iker Muniain M
9 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
13 Iago Herrerín
29 Daniel Vivian
24 Mikel Balenziaga
34 Oihan Sancet
7 Beñat Etxebarria
12 Gaizka Larrazabal
20 Aritz Aduriz

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 Marc-André ter Stegen G
2 Nélson Semedo D
3 Gerard Piqué D
15 Clément Lenglet D
18 Jordi Alba D
20 Sergi Roberto M
21 Frenkie de Jong M
19 Carles Aleñá M
11 Ousmane Dembélé F
9 Luis Suárez F
17 Antoine Griezmann F
Bench (7)
26 Iñaki Peña
24 Junior Firpo
23 Samuel Umtiti
4 Ivan Rakitić
27 Carles Pérez
12 Rafinha Alcántara
5 Sergio Busquets

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
5,07
🔒
U
3,81
🔒
B
1,71
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,79
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,05
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.