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La Liga

Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez

Celta

S T S U U

2–0

Full-time

Barcelona

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 49%

26%

71%

Points per game

1,1

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

54%

57%

Both score Ø 59%

63%

54%

Average goals

3,0

3,4

Scored

1,4

2,5

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%

14 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 16. · Barcelona 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	35	25	8	2	+54	83
2	Ath Madrid	36	22	8	6	+26	74
3	Real Madrid	35	20	5	10	+20	65
4	Sevilla	36	16	7	13	+13	55
5	Getafe	35	14	13	8	+13	55
6	Valencia	35	12	16	7	+8	52
7	Ath Bilbao	35	12	14	9	-3	50
8	Sociedad	36	12	11	13	-1	47
9	Espanol	36	12	11	13	-6	47
10	Alaves	36	12	11	13	-10	47
11	Leganes	36	11	12	13	-3	45
12	Betis	35	12	8	15	-10	44
13	Eibar	35	10	13	12	-4	43
14	Villarreal	35	9	13	13	-3	40
15	Levante	36	10	10	16	-8	40
16	Celta	35	9	10	16	-9	37
17	Girona	35	9	10	16	-12	37
18	Valladolid	35	8	11	16	-19	35
19	Vallecano	36	8	7	21	-28	31
20	Huesca	35	6	12	17	-18	30

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	18	15	2	1	+22	47
2	Barcelona	18	14	3	1	+32	45
3	Real Madrid	17	12	1	4	+18	37
4	Sevilla	18	11	3	4	+17	36
5	Espanol	18	10	3	5	+4	33
6	Getafe	17	10	2	5	+13	32
7	Ath Bilbao	18	8	8	2	+5	32
8	Eibar	17	8	5	4	+9	29
9	Leganes	18	7	8	3	+5	29
10	Valencia	18	6	10	2	+10	28
11	Alaves	18	6	8	4	-1	26
12	Betis	18	7	5	6	-2	26
13	Celta	17	7	4	6	+4	25
14	Sociedad	18	6	6	6	+1	24
15	Levante	18	6	6	6	+0	24
16	Vallecano	18	5	6	7	-6	21
17	Villarreal	18	4	8	6	+1	20
18	Huesca	17	4	6	7	-3	18
19	Valladolid	17	4	5	8	-9	17
20	Girona	18	3	6	9	-10	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	11	5	1	+22	38
2	Real Madrid	18	8	4	6	+2	28
3	Ath Madrid	18	7	6	5	+4	27
4	Valencia	17	6	6	5	-2	24
5	Getafe	18	4	11	3	+0	23
6	Sociedad	18	6	5	7	-2	23
7	Girona	17	6	4	7	-2	22
8	Alaves	18	6	3	9	-9	21
9	Villarreal	17	5	5	7	-4	20
10	Sevilla	18	5	4	9	-4	19
11	Betis	17	5	3	9	-8	18
12	Ath Bilbao	17	4	6	7	-8	18
13	Valladolid	18	4	6	8	-10	18
14	Levante	18	4	4	10	-8	16
15	Leganes	18	4	4	10	-8	16
16	Espanol	18	2	8	8	-10	14
17	Eibar	18	2	8	8	-13	14
18	Celta	18	2	6	10	-13	12
19	Huesca	18	2	6	10	-15	12
20	Vallecano	18	3	1	14	-22	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.