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La Liga

Referee: Carlos del Cerro

Cadiz

U T S T U

0–1

Full-time

Osasuna

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 30%

23%

37%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

30%

33%

Both score Ø 38%

33%

43%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

0,8

0,9

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,46 xG 1,02

56% Possession 44%

20 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 2

5 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Cadiz 15. · Osasuna 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	30	24	4	2	+45	+10.6	76
2	Real Madrid	30	20	5	5	+39	+17.6	65
3	Ath Madrid	30	18	6	6	+25	+11.1	60
4	Sociedad	30	16	6	8	+10	+3.3	54
5	Betis	30	14	6	10	+6	+3.3	48
6	Villarreal	30	14	5	11	+9	+5.4	47
7	Ath Bilbao	30	13	7	10	+12	+3.2	46
8	Osasuna	30	11	8	11	-4	-8.7	41
9	Vallecano	30	10	10	10	+0	-2.5	40
10	Mallorca	30	11	7	12	-2	-1.3	40
11	Girona	30	10	8	12	+1	-2.9	38
12	Sevilla	30	10	8	12	-8	+1.5	38
13	Celta	30	9	9	12	-6	+2.0	36
14	Valladolid	30	10	5	15	-22	-12.0	35
15	Cadiz	30	7	11	12	-19	-4.1	32
16	Getafe	30	7	10	13	-11	-4.3	31
17	Valencia	30	8	6	16	-4	-2.2	30
18	Almeria	30	8	6	16	-16	-6.8	30
19	Espanol	30	6	10	14	-14	-4.3	28
20	Elche	30	2	7	21	-41	-8.9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	12	3	0	+26	+6.8	39
2	Real Madrid	15	10	4	1	+24	+13.6	34
3	Ath Madrid	15	9	3	3	+16	+9.0	30
4	Sociedad	15	8	4	3	+6	+4.9	28
5	Girona	15	8	3	4	+8	+1.9	27
6	Betis	15	8	3	4	+7	+1.2	27
7	Villarreal	14	8	2	4	+8	+4.9	26
8	Almeria	16	8	2	6	+3	-0.4	26
9	Mallorca	15	7	4	4	+5	+2.5	25
10	Osasuna	15	8	1	6	+0	-3.5	25
11	Ath Bilbao	15	7	3	5	+9	+0.3	24
12	Valladolid	15	7	3	5	+0	-0.6	24
13	Vallecano	15	6	5	4	+4	-0.9	23
14	Sevilla	15	6	4	5	+1	+7.4	22
15	Valencia	15	6	3	6	+6	+3.5	21
16	Celta	15	5	5	5	+4	+3.2	20
17	Getafe	15	5	5	5	+0	-1.5	20
18	Cadiz	15	4	6	5	-7	-1.7	18
19	Espanol	15	3	5	7	-7	+0.5	14
20	Elche	15	1	4	10	-16	+0.0	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	12	1	2	+19	+3.8	37
2	Real Madrid	15	10	1	4	+15	+4.0	31
3	Ath Madrid	15	9	3	3	+9	+2.0	30
4	Sociedad	15	8	2	5	+4	-1.6	26
5	Ath Bilbao	15	6	4	5	+3	+2.9	22
6	Villarreal	16	6	3	7	+1	+0.5	21
7	Betis	15	6	3	6	-1	+2.1	21
8	Vallecano	15	4	5	6	-4	-1.7	17
9	Osasuna	15	3	7	5	-4	-5.2	16
10	Sevilla	15	4	4	7	-9	-5.9	16
11	Celta	15	4	4	7	-10	-1.2	16
12	Mallorca	15	4	3	8	-7	-3.9	15
13	Espanol	15	3	5	7	-7	-4.8	14
14	Cadiz	15	3	5	7	-12	-2.4	14
15	Girona	15	2	5	8	-7	-4.8	11
16	Getafe	15	2	5	8	-11	-2.8	11
17	Valladolid	15	3	2	10	-22	-11.3	11
18	Valencia	15	2	3	10	-10	-5.7	9
19	Elche	15	1	3	11	-25	-8.9	6
20	Almeria	14	0	4	10	-19	-6.4	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.