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La Liga

Referee: Pablo González

Alaves

T T T T S

1–0

Full-time

Mallorca

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Mallorca

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

1,8

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 36%

27%

45%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

64%

36%

Both score Ø 50%

55%

45%

Average goals

2,9

1,6

Scored

1,2

0,9

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,15 xG 0,51

52% Possession 48%

13 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

19 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 16. · Mallorca 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	10	0	1	+27	+15.3	30
2	Real Madrid	11	7	3	1	+10	+8.0	24
3	Villarreal	11	6	3	2	+1	+3.5	21
4	Ath Madrid	11	5	5	1	+9	+8.0	20
5	Ath Bilbao	11	5	3	3	+6	+1.8	18
6	Betis	11	5	3	3	+2	+7.3	18
7	Mallorca	11	5	3	3	+2	+3.9	18
8	Osasuna	11	5	3	3	+0	-2.9	18
9	Vallecano	11	4	4	3	+2	-1.6	16
10	Sevilla	11	4	3	4	-3	-2.1	15
11	Celta	11	4	1	6	-3	+1.5	13
12	Sociedad	11	3	3	5	-2	+1.8	12
13	Girona	11	3	3	5	-3	+1.8	12
14	Leganes	11	2	5	4	-3	-8.9	11
15	Getafe	11	1	7	3	-1	+3.2	10
16	Alaves	11	3	1	7	-6	-4.3	10
17	Espanol	11	3	1	7	-9	-10.0	10
18	Las Palmas	11	2	3	6	-6	-9.2	9
19	Valladolid	11	2	2	7	-14	-7.3	8
20	Valencia	11	1	4	6	-9	-9.8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	6	5	0	1	+7	+6.4	15
2	Osasuna	6	4	1	1	+4	+2.1	13
3	Betis	6	4	1	1	+4	+7.3	13
4	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+13	+8.4	12
5	Ath Madrid	5	3	2	0	+8	+10.3	11
6	Ath Bilbao	6	3	2	1	+5	+0.0	11
7	Celta	6	3	1	2	+3	+2.4	10
8	Mallorca	6	2	3	1	+1	+1.2	9
9	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	+0	+1.9	9
10	Espanol	6	3	0	3	-1	-1.0	9
11	Vallecano	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.8	8
12	Getafe	6	1	5	0	+2	+5.6	8
13	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	-1	-0.5	8
14	Girona	5	2	1	2	+1	+1.2	7
15	Leganes	5	2	1	2	+1	+0.1	7
16	Alaves	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.0	7
17	Las Palmas	6	1	3	2	-1	-3.8	6
18	Valencia	5	1	2	2	+0	-1.2	5
19	Valladolid	6	1	2	3	-2	-1.4	5
20	Sociedad	6	1	1	4	-3	+1.8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	6	0	1	+14	+6.9	18
2	Villarreal	6	4	1	1	+2	+4.0	13
3	Real Madrid	5	2	3	0	+3	+1.6	9
4	Ath Madrid	6	2	3	1	+1	-2.3	9
5	Mallorca	5	3	0	2	+1	+2.6	9
6	Sociedad	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.0	8
7	Vallecano	6	2	2	2	+0	-4.4	8
8	Ath Bilbao	5	2	1	2	+1	+1.7	7
9	Sevilla	6	1	3	2	-3	-4.0	6
10	Betis	5	1	2	2	-2	-0.0	5
11	Girona	6	1	2	3	-4	+0.6	5
12	Osasuna	5	1	2	2	-4	-5.0	5
13	Leganes	6	0	4	2	-4	-9.0	4
14	Alaves	6	1	0	5	-5	-1.3	3
15	Las Palmas	5	1	0	4	-5	-5.4	3
16	Celta	5	1	0	4	-6	-0.9	3
17	Valladolid	5	1	0	4	-12	-5.8	3
18	Getafe	5	0	2	3	-3	-2.4	2
19	Valencia	6	0	2	4	-9	-8.6	2
20	Espanol	5	0	1	4	-8	-8.9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.