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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Bacher
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preußen Münster Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
10%
60%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 55%
70%
40%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
6 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 11
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Preußen Münster 17. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fortuna Dusseldorf 10 6 2 2 +6 20
2 Hannover 10 6 1 3 +7 19
3 Paderborn 10 5 4 1 +5 19
4 Karlsruhe 10 5 4 1 +4 19
5 Hamburg 10 5 3 2 +11 18
6 Hertha 10 5 2 3 +3 17
7 Elversberg 10 4 4 2 +7 16
8 Nurnberg 10 5 1 4 +4 16
9 Magdeburg 10 4 4 2 +3 16
10 Kaiserslautern 10 4 3 3 +2 15
11 Greuther Furth 10 3 4 3 +0 13
12 FC Koln 10 3 3 4 +2 12
13 Darmstadt 10 2 4 4 -3 10
14 Ulm 10 2 2 6 -3 8
15 Schalke 04 10 2 2 6 -5 8
16 Braunschweig 10 2 2 6 -12 8
17 Preußen Münster 10 1 4 5 -5 7
18 Regensburg 10 1 1 8 -26 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Preußen Münster Fortuna Dusseldorf
1–0 J. ter Horst
A. Németh
26′
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 T. Rossmann
↦ G. Haag
60′
🔁 D. Pejčinović
↦ E. Iyoha
64′
🟨 Shinta Karl Appelkamp
69′
🟨 Tim Christopher Oberdorf
77′
🔁 D. Schmidt
↦ M. van Brederode
T. Deters 🔁
↦ Y. Bouchama
78′
J. Grodowski 🔁
↦ J. Mees
78′
83′
🔁 J. Niemiec
↦ F. Klaus
83′
🔁 V. Lunddal Friðriksson
↦ M. Zimmermann
S. Scherder 🔁
↦ C. Makridis
85′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Preußen Münster

4-2-3-1
1 J. Schenk G
27 J. ter Horst D
24 N. Koulis D
29 L. Frenkert D
2 M. Kirkeskov D
20 J. Hendrix M
21 R. Preißinger M
5 Y. Bouchama M
8 J. Mees M
14 C. Makridis M
28 A. Németh F
Bench (9)
11 T. Deters
9 J. Grodowski
15 S. Scherder
39 J. Korte
26 M. Behrens
45 L. Tasov
18 M. Lorenz
16 T. Paetow
25 L. Bolay

Coach: S. Hildmann

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-2-3-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
25 M. Zimmermann D
3 A. Hoffmann D
15 T. Oberdorf D
19 E. Iyoha D
6 G. Haag M
8 Í. Jóhannesson M
11 F. Klaus M
23 S. Appelkamp M
10 M. van Brederode M
9 V. Vermeij F
Bench (9)
21 T. Rossmann
7 D. Pejčinović
22 D. Schmidt
18 J. Niemiec
12 V. Lunddal Friðriksson
1 R. Kwasigroch
31 M. Sobottka
30 J. de Wijs
5 J. Quarshie

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,28
U
3,65
B
2,09
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,62
U2,5 ✓
2,25
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Bacher · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.