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Serie A

Referee: F La Penna

Atalanta

S S U S U

1–0

Full-time

Bologna

S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 47%

62%

32%

Points per game

2,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

76%

65%

Both score Ø 75%

71%

79%

Average goals

4,1

3,1

Scored

2,8

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

13 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atalanta 3. · Bologna 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	34	25	5	4	+36	80
2	Inter	34	21	9	4	+38	72
3	Atalanta	34	21	8	5	+50	71
4	Lazio	34	21	6	7	+32	69
5	Roma	34	17	7	10	+17	58
6	Napoli	34	16	8	10	+10	56
7	Milan	34	16	8	10	+10	56
8	Sassuolo	34	13	9	12	+5	48
9	Verona	34	11	12	11	+0	45
10	Bologna	34	11	10	13	-9	43
11	Cagliari	34	10	12	12	-1	42
12	Fiorentina	34	10	12	12	-2	42
13	Sampdoria	34	12	5	17	-11	41
14	Parma	34	11	7	16	-3	40
15	Torino	34	11	4	19	-21	37
16	Udinese	34	9	9	16	-16	36
17	Genoa	34	8	9	17	-22	33
18	Lecce	34	7	8	19	-34	29
19	Brescia	34	6	6	22	-39	24
20	Spal	34	5	4	25	-40	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	17	15	2	0	+29	47
2	Lazio	17	12	3	2	+26	39
3	Atalanta	17	11	2	4	+26	35
4	Inter	17	10	5	2	+21	35
5	Roma	18	9	4	5	+8	31
6	Milan	17	8	5	4	+8	29
7	Verona	17	8	5	4	+5	29
8	Napoli	17	8	3	6	+3	27
9	Sassuolo	16	7	3	6	+8	24
10	Torino	17	7	3	7	-6	24
11	Cagliari	17	6	4	7	+3	22
12	Sampdoria	17	6	4	7	-1	22
13	Udinese	17	5	6	6	-5	21
14	Parma	17	6	2	9	+2	20
15	Fiorentina	18	4	8	6	-4	20
16	Bologna	17	4	7	6	-5	19
17	Genoa	17	6	1	10	-7	19
18	Lecce	17	3	5	9	-12	14
19	Brescia	17	3	4	10	-12	13
20	Spal	16	2	3	11	-17	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	17	11	4	2	+17	37
2	Atalanta	17	10	6	1	+24	36
3	Juventus	17	10	3	4	+7	33
4	Lazio	17	9	3	5	+6	30
5	Napoli	17	8	5	4	+7	29
6	Roma	16	8	3	5	+9	27
7	Milan	17	8	3	6	+2	27
8	Sassuolo	18	6	6	6	-3	24
9	Bologna	17	7	3	7	-4	24
10	Fiorentina	16	6	4	6	+2	22
11	Cagliari	17	4	8	5	-4	20
12	Parma	17	5	5	7	-5	20
13	Sampdoria	17	6	1	10	-10	19
14	Verona	17	3	7	7	-5	16
15	Udinese	17	4	3	10	-11	15
16	Lecce	17	4	3	10	-22	15
17	Genoa	17	2	8	7	-15	14
18	Torino	17	4	1	12	-15	13
19	Brescia	17	3	2	12	-27	11
20	Spal	18	3	1	14	-23	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.